Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves v Cleveland Guardians

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 23:16 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prediction 52.14%1.92fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.769%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%52.11%52.22%52.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.841.851.8956.18%54.24%54.05%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 47.86%2.09fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -0.922%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.34%47.89%47.78%49.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.981.982.0552.36%50.48%50.51%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Braves (Local): 52.14%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 47.86%. For Atlanta Braves (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.89, with an expected value of -1.45%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.45%E -0.769%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.45%E -0.769%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-11 22:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -1.45%E -0.769%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -5.72%E -2.90%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 22:25
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.97%E -1.05%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-11 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.97%E -1.05%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.67%E -3.42%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 23:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.97%E -1.05%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.67%E -3.42%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 23:09
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.89%E -0.922%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-11 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-11 23:15
TAB🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 22:40
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.15%E -3.69%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:09
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.15%E -3.69%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.15%E -3.69%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:10
LeoVegas🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.15%E -3.69%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:10
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.15%E -3.69%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:10
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.15%E -3.69%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.15%E -3.69%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.15%E -3.69%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:10
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 23:15
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 13:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.15%E -3.69%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.15%E -3.69%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 23:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.54%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.80%E -1.89%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 23:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.54%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.54%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:54
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.54%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:55
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.54%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 21:54
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.54%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.54%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 21:55
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.54%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.67%E -3.42%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.54%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.63%E -3.95%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 23:09
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.54%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.63%E -3.95%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 23:09
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.06%E -2.21%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.72%E -2.90%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 13:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 19:20
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 19:05
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 23:10
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 07:54
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 23:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 18:30
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 23:06
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 21:04
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 20:50
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.32%E -1.65%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 20:04
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 16:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.76%E -2.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 20:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.62%E -3.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.72%E -2.90%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 23:13
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.15%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 23:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.15%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 23:15
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.15%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.15%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.15%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 21:00
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.15%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 23:14
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.15%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 02:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.15%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.72%E -2.90%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -7.19%E -4.04%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 23:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.92I 52.08%NM 52.24%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.76%-0.3%2026-04-11 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-04-11 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-04-11 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-04-11 21:20
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-04-11 23:15
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-11 23:15
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-11 13:25
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-04-11 23:15
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-04-11 23:10
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-04-11 23:15