La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Braves v Cleveland Guardians

Inicio: 2026-04-11 23:16 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Predicción 52.14%1.92momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -0.769%
Kelly -1.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.53%52.11%52.22%52.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.841.851.8956.18%54.24%54.05%52.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Predicción 47.86%2.09momio equitativo
EV -1.89%
Ventaja -0.922%
Kelly -1.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.34%47.89%47.78%49.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.911.981.982.0552.36%50.48%50.51%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.45%E -0.769%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.45%E -0.769%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-11 22:50
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -1.45%E -0.769%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -5.72%E -2.90%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 22:25
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.97%E -1.05%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-11 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.97%E -1.05%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.67%E -3.42%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 23:09
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.97%E -1.05%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.67%E -3.42%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 23:09
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.89%E -0.922%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 23:10
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-11 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-11 23:15
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 22:40
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.15%E -3.69%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:09
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.15%E -3.69%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.15%E -3.69%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:10
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.15%E -3.69%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:10
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.15%E -3.69%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:10
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.15%E -3.69%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:09
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.15%E -3.69%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:10
Bally Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.15%E -3.69%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:10
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 23:15
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 13:25
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.15%E -3.69%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.15%E -3.69%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 23:10
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.54%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.80%E -1.89%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 23:15
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.54%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.54%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:54
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.54%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:55
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.54%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 21:54
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.54%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.54%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 21:55
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.54%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.67%E -3.42%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 22:40
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.54%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.63%E -3.95%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 23:09
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.54%E -1.91%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.63%E -3.95%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 23:09
SportsBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.06%E -2.21%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.72%E -2.90%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 13:24
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 19:20
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 19:05
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 23:10
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 07:54
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 23:04
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 18:30
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 23:06
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 21:04
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.58%E -2.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 20:50
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.32%E -1.65%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 20:04
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 16:04
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.76%E -2.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 20:04
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.62%E -3.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.72%E -2.90%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 23:13
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.15%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 23:15
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.15%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 23:15
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.15%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 21:00
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.15%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 21:00
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.15%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 21:00
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.15%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 23:14
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.15%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.28%E -2.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 02:05
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.15%E -3.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.72%E -2.90%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 23:09
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -7.19%E -4.04%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.24%E -2.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 23:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.92I 52.08%NM 52.24%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.76%-0.3%2026-04-11 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-04-11 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-04-11 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-04-11 21:20
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-04-11 23:15
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-11 23:15
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-11 13:25
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-04-11 23:15
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-04-11 23:10
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-04-11 23:15