Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.40
assuming max odds 3.38
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Braves (Local): 69.95%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 30.05%. For Cincinnati Reds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.33. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.58%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.16%EV -4.17%E -3.05%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.84%EV +1.58%E +0.468%K +0.664%G +0.011% | 2.6% | 2026-09-23 23:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%EV -2.77%E -2.00%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%EV +0.680%E +0.203%K +0.289%G +0.002% | 1.8% | 2026-09-23 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.76%EV -3.47%E -2.52%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.24%EV +0.379%E +0.113%K +0.162%G +0.001% | 2.4% | 2026-09-23 23:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.76%EV -3.47%E -2.52%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.24%EV +0.379%E +0.113%K +0.162%G +0.001% | 2.4% | 2026-09-23 23:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -4.17%E -3.05%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -0.823%E -0.249%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-23 20:18 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.823%E -0.249%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-23 21:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.27%E -4.68%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.823%E -0.249%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-23 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -3.47%E -2.52%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -2.03%E -0.621%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-23 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.33%E -0.716%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-23 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.33%E -0.716%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-23 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.33%E -0.716%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-23 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.57%E -4.13%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.33%E -0.716%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-23 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.57%E -4.13%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.33%E -0.716%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-23 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%EV -3.47%E -2.52%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -2.93%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-23 23:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.37%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.63%EV -2.93%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-23 22:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -5.57%E -4.13%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -3.53%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-23 22:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.47%E -2.52%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-23 19:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.17%E -3.05%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-23 22:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.17%E -3.05%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-23 22:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.17%E -3.05%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-23 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.17%E -3.05%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-23 22:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-23 15:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-23 19:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-23 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-23 10:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-23 10:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-23 10:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-23 23:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-23 23:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-23 23:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-23 23:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-23 23:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-23 16:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.57%E -4.13%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-23 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.57%E -4.13%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.83%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-23 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -3.47%E -2.52%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -4.43%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-23 21:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.43%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-23 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.47%E -2.52%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-23 21:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.47%E -2.52%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-23 20:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.33%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-23 23:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.33%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-23 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.27%E -4.68%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.33%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-23 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.27%E -4.68%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.33%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-23 23:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.97%E -5.24%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.33%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-23 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.97%E -5.24%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.33%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-23 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.97%E -5.24%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.33%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-23 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-23 19:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-23 19:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-23 20:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-23 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.57%E -4.13%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-23 16:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.57%E -4.13%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-23 19:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.97%E -5.24%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-23 22:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -9.07%E -6.98%K -30.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -6.83%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-23 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.17%E -3.05%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -8.34%E -2.73%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-23 20:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.34%E -2.73%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-23 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.08%E -1.48%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-23 10:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.08%E -1.48%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-23 10:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-23 20:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.87%E -3.58%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-23 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.97%E -5.24%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-23 23:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.97%E -5.24%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.84%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-23 23:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -5.57%E -4.13%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -11.34%E -3.84%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-23 22:48 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -6.97%E -5.24%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -15.85%E -5.66%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-23 23:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.96%EV -7.67%E -5.81%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -15.85%E -5.66%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-23 23:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.49% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 28.51% | -0.1% | 2026-09-23 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.63% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 28.37% | 0.4% | 2026-09-23 23:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-09-23 22:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-09-23 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-09-23 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-09-23 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-09-23 22:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-09-23 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-09-23 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72% | 2.4% | 2026-09-23 23:15 |