Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Braves v Cincinnati Reds

2026-09-23 23:16 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Predicción 67.92%1.47momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -3.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.49%67.84%68.10%69.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.341.401.401.4574.63%71.62%71.43%68.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Predicción 32.08%3.12momio equitativo
EV +2.33%
Ventaja +0.730%
Kelly +1.06%
Crecimiento +0.025%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.49%32.16%31.90%34.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.603.003.003.1938.46%33.38%33.33%31.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Atlanta Braves (Local): 67.92%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 32.08%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.12. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.19, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +2.33%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 69.35%EV -4.23%E -3.00%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.65%EV +2.33%E +0.730%K +1.06%G +0.025%2.3%2026-09-22 23:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 69.35%EV -4.23%E -3.00%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.65%EV +2.33%E +0.730%K +1.06%G +0.025%2.3%2026-09-22 23:25
BetAnything🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -5.59%E -4.02%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV +0.083%E +0.027%K +0.039%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-23 02:05
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.65%EV -3.55%E -2.50%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.35%EV -0.238%E -0.077%K -0.113%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-23 02:15
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -2.87%E -2.01%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -0.559%E -0.180%K -0.266%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-22 23:10
GTbets🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -4.23%E -3.00%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -0.559%E -0.180%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-22 23:24
BetUS🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -4.23%E -3.00%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -0.559%E -0.180%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-23 01:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.91%E -3.51%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -0.559%E -0.180%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-23 02:05
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -5.59%E -4.02%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -0.559%E -0.180%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-22 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.27%E -4.54%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.559%E -0.180%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 01:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.27%E -4.54%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.559%E -0.180%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 01:04
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.27%E -4.54%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.559%E -0.180%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.27%E -4.54%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.559%E -0.180%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 01:05
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.27%E -4.54%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.559%E -0.180%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 01:05
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.27%E -4.54%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.559%E -0.180%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 01:04
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.27%E -4.54%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.559%E -0.180%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 01:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.27%E -4.54%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.559%E -0.180%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 01:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.27%E -4.54%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.559%E -0.180%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 01:05
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.27%E -4.54%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.559%E -0.180%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 01:04
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.63%E -5.61%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.559%E -0.180%K -0.266%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-22 19:15
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -5.59%E -4.02%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -1.20%E -0.390%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-23 01:49
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -7.63%E -5.61%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -1.20%E -0.390%K -0.577%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-22 19:14
Caesars🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.91%E -3.51%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.16%E -0.709%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-22 19:24
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.91%E -3.51%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.16%E -0.709%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-23 02:15
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.27%E -4.54%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.16%E -0.709%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 01:05
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.63%E -5.61%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -2.16%E -0.709%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-22 19:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.63%E -5.61%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -2.16%E -0.709%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-22 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.63%E -5.61%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -2.16%E -0.709%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-22 19:19
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.55%E -2.50%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.77%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-23 02:19
Fanatics🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.23%E -3.00%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.77%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 01:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.91%E -3.51%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.77%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-22 19:14
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.91%E -3.51%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.77%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-22 19:15
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.91%E -3.51%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.77%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-23 01:55
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.91%E -3.51%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.77%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-22 20:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.59%E -4.02%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.77%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 20:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.59%E -4.02%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.77%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 22:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.95%E -5.07%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.77%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-23 01:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.95%E -5.07%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.77%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-23 01:05
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.87%E -2.01%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.37%E -1.82%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-23 01:55
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.23%E -3.00%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.37%E -1.82%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-23 02:15
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.91%E -3.51%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.37%E -1.82%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 19:15
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.91%E -3.51%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.37%E -1.82%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 19:19
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -8.98%E -6.70%K -26.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -5.37%E -1.82%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-23 01:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.19%E -1.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -6.97%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-23 02:09
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.91%E -3.51%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.97%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-23 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.91%E -3.51%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.97%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-23 01:55
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.19%E -1.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.58%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 02:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.55%E -2.50%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.58%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-23 02:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.55%E -2.50%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.58%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-23 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.51%E -1.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -10.18%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 01:55
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.51%E -1.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -10.18%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 01:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.55%E -2.50%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.18%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-23 02:08
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.55%E -2.50%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.18%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-23 02:10
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.91%E -3.51%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.18%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-23 02:05
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.91%E -3.51%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.18%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-23 02:03
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -5.59%E -4.02%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -13.39%E -4.96%K -7.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-23 02:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.49%EV -6.95%E -5.07%K -18.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.51%EV -16.60%E -6.38%K -10.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-23 02:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-09-23 02:05
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-09-23 00:20
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-09-23 02:15
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-09-22 20:35
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%4.8%2026-09-23 02:05
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 66.34%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%9.2%2026-09-23 02:01