A Escola das Odds

Atlanta Braves v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-05-14 23:16 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 0–2 Chicago Cubs

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Previsão 63.57%1.57odd justa
EV -1.47%
Vantagem -0.947%
Kelly -2.67%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.16%63.60%63.60%65.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.441.501.501.5569.44%66.87%66.67%64.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 36.43%2.74odd justa
EV +0.186%
Vantagem +0.067%
Kelly +0.106%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.99%36.40%36.40%37.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.652.652.7540.00%37.80%37.74%36.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +0.186%E +0.067%K +0.106%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 23:15
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +0.186%E +0.067%K +0.106%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 23:15
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +0.186%E +0.067%K +0.106%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 23:15
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV +0.186%E +0.067%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-14 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +0.186%E +0.067%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 23:00
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +0.186%E +0.067%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 22:54
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -0.179%E -0.065%K -0.103%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-14 23:05
MyBookie.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -5.28%E -3.55%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -0.543%E -0.199%K -0.314%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-14 23:04
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.10%E -1.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-14 22:40
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-14 21:40
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-14 23:10
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-14 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.28%E -3.55%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 21:40
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.28%E -3.55%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 21:40
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:40
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:40
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:40
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:39
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:39
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:40
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:40
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-14 21:35
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -1.47%E -0.947%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-14 23:14
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:05
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:05
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:00
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 21:45
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.28%E -3.55%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 21:35
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 23:05
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 23:05
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 23:05
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 22:45
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 22:45
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 22:45
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 22:45
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 23:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.46%E -5.88%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 21:35
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.35%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.65%EV -4.91%E -1.88%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-14 23:14
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.74%E -1.79%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-14 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.38%E -2.22%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 23:00
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.38%E -2.22%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 21:45
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 22:55
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 23:10
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 23:10
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 23:15
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 23:10
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 23:05
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 23:00
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.48%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 21:45
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.48%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 21:45
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -6.74%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 23:12
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.10%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:00
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.10%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:14
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.10%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 23:14
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -2.10%E -1.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -7.83%E -3.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-14 20:25
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 23:04
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.28%E -3.55%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 23:05
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.28%E -3.55%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 23:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%0.7%2026-05-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%0.7%2026-05-14 23:10
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-14 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-05-14 23:15
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-05-14 23:15
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%1.7%2026-05-14 23:15
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 64.25%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.75%1.7%2026-05-14 23:15
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-05-14 23:15
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%2.2%2026-05-14 23:15
BetOpenly1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%3.4%2026-05-14 22:55