L’École des cotes

Atlanta Braves v Chicago Cubs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-14 23:16 UTC

Score final : Atlanta Braves 0–2 Chicago Cubs

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prévision 63.57%1.57cote équitable
EV -1.47%
Avantage -0.947%
Kelly -2.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.16%63.60%63.60%65.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.501.501.5569.44%66.87%66.67%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.43%2.74cote équitable
EV +0.186%
Avantage +0.067%
Kelly +0.106%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.99%36.40%36.40%37.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.652.652.7540.00%37.80%37.74%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +0.186%E +0.067%K +0.106%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 23:15
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +0.186%E +0.067%K +0.106%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 23:15
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +0.186%E +0.067%K +0.106%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 23:15
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV +0.186%E +0.067%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-14 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +0.186%E +0.067%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 23:00
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +0.186%E +0.067%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 22:54
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -0.179%E -0.065%K -0.103%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-14 23:05
MyBookie.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -5.28%E -3.55%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -0.543%E -0.199%K -0.314%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-14 23:04
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.10%E -1.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-14 22:40
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-14 21:40
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-14 23:10
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-14 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.28%E -3.55%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 21:40
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.28%E -3.55%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 21:40
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:40
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:40
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:40
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:39
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:39
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:40
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 21:40
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-14 21:35
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -1.47%E -0.947%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-14 23:14
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:05
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:05
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:00
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 21:45
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.28%E -3.55%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 21:35
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 23:05
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 23:05
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 23:05
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 22:45
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 22:45
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 22:45
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 22:45
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 23:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.46%E -5.88%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 21:35
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.35%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.65%EV -4.91%E -1.88%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-14 23:14
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.74%E -1.79%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-14 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.38%E -2.22%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 23:00
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.38%E -2.22%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 21:45
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 22:55
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 23:10
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 23:10
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 23:15
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 23:10
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 23:05
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 23:00
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.48%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 21:45
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.48%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 21:45
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -6.74%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 23:12
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.10%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:00
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.10%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 23:14
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.10%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 23:14
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -2.10%E -1.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -7.83%E -3.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-14 20:25
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 23:04
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.28%E -3.55%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 23:05
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.28%E -3.55%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 23:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%0.7%2026-05-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%0.7%2026-05-14 23:10
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-14 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-05-14 23:15
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-05-14 23:15
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%1.7%2026-05-14 23:15
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 64.25%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.75%1.7%2026-05-14 23:15
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-05-14 23:15
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%2.2%2026-05-14 23:15
BetOpenly1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%3.4%2026-05-14 22:55