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Atlanta Braves v Chicago Cubs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlanta Braves (Local)
Predicción 63.57%1.57momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.947%
Kelly -2.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.16%63.60%63.60%65.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.501.501.5569.44%66.87%66.67%64.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chicago Cubs (Visitante)
Predicción 36.43%2.74momio equitativo
EV +0.186%
Ventaja +0.067%
Kelly +0.106%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.99%36.40%36.40%37.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.652.652.7540.00%37.80%37.74%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Atlanta Braves (Local): 63.57%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 36.43%. Para Chicago Cubs (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.74. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.186%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +0.186%E +0.067%K +0.106%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 23:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +0.186%E +0.067%K +0.106%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 23:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +0.186%E +0.067%K +0.106%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 23:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV +0.186%E +0.067%K +0.106%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +0.186%E +0.067%K +0.106%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +0.186%E +0.067%K +0.106%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-14 22:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -0.179%E -0.065%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -5.28%E -3.55%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -0.543%E -0.199%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-14 23:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.10%E -1.37%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-14 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-14 21:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-14 23:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.28%E -3.55%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-14 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.28%E -3.55%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-14 21:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 21:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 21:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 21:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 21:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 21:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 21:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.64%E -0.606%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-14 21:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -1.47%E -0.947%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-14 23:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 21:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.28%E -3.55%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 21:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-14 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-14 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-14 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-14 22:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.46%E -5.88%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-14 21:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.35%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.65%EV -4.91%E -1.88%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-14 23:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.74%E -1.79%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.38%E -2.22%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.38%E -2.22%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-14 21:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 23:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 23:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 23:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.48%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 21:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.48%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -4.01%E -2.66%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -6.74%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 23:12 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.10%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.10%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 23:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.10%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-14 23:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -2.10%E -1.37%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -7.83%E -3.09%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-14 20:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-14 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.28%E -3.55%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.28%E -3.55%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-14 23:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 0.7% | 2026-05-14 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 0.7% | 2026-05-14 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-05-14 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-05-14 23:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15% | 1.7% | 2026-05-14 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.25% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.75% | 1.7% | 2026-05-14 23:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 2.0% | 2026-05-14 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49% | 2.2% | 2026-05-14 23:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36% | 3.4% | 2026-05-14 22:55 |