A Escola das Odds

Atlanta Braves v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-05-13 23:16 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 4–1 Chicago Cubs

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Previsão 45.52%2.20odd justa
EV +1.05%
Vantagem +0.472%
Kelly +0.860%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.93%45.49%45.59%46.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.942.122.132.2251.55%47.15%46.95%45.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 54.48%1.84odd justa
EV -1.93%
Vantagem -1.07%
Kelly -2.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.19%54.51%54.41%56.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.681.731.731.8059.52%57.71%57.80%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV +1.05%E +0.472%K +0.860%G +0.009%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -4.11%E -2.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-13 23:15
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.138%E +0.063%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.57%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-13 21:39
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +0.138%E +0.063%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -4.11%E -2.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 23:15
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +0.138%E +0.063%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -4.11%E -2.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 23:15
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +0.138%E +0.063%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -4.11%E -2.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 23:14
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV +0.138%E +0.063%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-13 23:15
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV +0.138%E +0.063%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-13 23:15
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV +0.138%E +0.063%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-13 23:15
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV +0.138%E +0.063%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-13 23:15
BetAnything2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -0.772%E -0.354%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -4.11%E -2.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-13 22:30
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.23%E -0.565%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.48%E -1.38%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-13 23:05
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.23%E -0.565%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.83%E -4.00%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 22:09
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -1.23%E -0.565%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 23:15
Bally Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -1.23%E -0.565%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 23:15
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.68%E -0.779%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:15
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.68%E -0.779%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:15
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.93%E -1.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 22:35
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 20:50
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 21:33
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 12:05
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 19:35
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 19:35
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.29%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.29%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 19:30
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:09
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:10
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.92%E -4.69%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 21:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -2.59%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.47%E -5.04%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 23:15
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -2.59%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.47%E -5.04%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 23:15
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -2.59%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.47%E -5.04%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 23:15
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 23:14
SportsBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 23:10
Bet Right2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 20:55
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.29%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 20:49
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.47%E -5.04%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 23:15
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.57%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 20:54
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 23:15
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 20:54
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 14:40
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 20:54
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 20:54
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 21:49
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.29%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 22:30
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.83%E -4.00%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 23:15
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 20:54
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.32%E -2.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.57%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 20:54
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.32%E -2.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 22:33
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.57%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 23:15
MyBookie.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -6.23%E -3.03%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -2.48%E -1.38%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 20:54
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -6.23%E -3.03%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 23:15
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.69%E -3.26%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 23:12
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.69%E -3.26%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 23:15
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.69%E -3.26%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 23:05
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.69%E -3.26%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 20:54
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.69%E -3.26%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.29%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 23:05
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.69%E -3.26%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.83%E -4.00%K -9.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 23:15
Betsson2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -7.14%E -3.50%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -3.57%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 23:15
NordicBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -7.14%E -3.50%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -3.57%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 23:15
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.97%E -4.48%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.11%E -2.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 23:15
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.97%E -4.48%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 23:15
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -11.70%E -6.03%K -12.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-13 23:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%-0.0%2026-05-13 23:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-05-13 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-05-13 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-05-13 23:15
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-13 20:54
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-05-13 22:24
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.2%2026-05-13 23:15
ProphetX2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.2%2026-05-13 23:15
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%3.4%2026-05-13 23:15
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 46.09%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.91%12.4%2026-05-13 23:15