La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Braves v Chicago Cubs

Inicio: 2026-05-13 23:16 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 4–1 Chicago Cubs

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Predicción 45.52%2.20momio equitativo
EV +1.05%
Ventaja +0.472%
Kelly +0.860%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.93%45.49%45.59%46.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.942.122.132.2251.55%47.15%46.95%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Predicción 54.48%1.84momio equitativo
EV -1.93%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -2.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.19%54.51%54.41%56.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.731.731.8059.52%57.71%57.80%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV +1.05%E +0.472%K +0.860%G +0.009%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -4.11%E -2.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-13 23:15
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.138%E +0.063%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.57%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-13 21:39
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +0.138%E +0.063%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -4.11%E -2.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 23:15
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +0.138%E +0.063%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -4.11%E -2.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 23:15
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +0.138%E +0.063%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -4.11%E -2.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 23:14
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV +0.138%E +0.063%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-13 23:15
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV +0.138%E +0.063%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-13 23:15
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV +0.138%E +0.063%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-13 23:15
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV +0.138%E +0.063%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-13 23:15
BetAnything2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -0.772%E -0.354%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -4.11%E -2.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-13 22:30
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.23%E -0.565%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.48%E -1.38%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-13 23:05
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.23%E -0.565%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.83%E -4.00%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 22:09
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -1.23%E -0.565%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 23:15
Bally Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -1.23%E -0.565%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 23:15
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.68%E -0.779%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:15
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.68%E -0.779%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:15
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.93%E -1.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 22:35
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 20:50
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 21:33
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 12:05
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 19:35
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 19:35
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.29%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.29%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 19:30
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:09
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:10
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.92%E -4.69%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 21:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -2.59%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.47%E -5.04%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 23:15
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -2.59%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.47%E -5.04%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 23:15
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -2.59%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.47%E -5.04%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 23:15
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 23:14
SportsBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 23:10
Bet Right2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 20:55
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.29%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 20:49
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.47%E -5.04%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 23:15
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.57%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 20:54
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 23:15
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 20:54
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 14:40
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 20:54
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 20:54
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 21:49
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.29%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 22:30
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.83%E -4.00%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 23:15
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 20:54
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.32%E -2.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.57%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 20:54
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.32%E -2.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 22:33
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.57%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 23:15
MyBookie.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -6.23%E -3.03%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -2.48%E -1.38%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 20:54
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -6.23%E -3.03%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 23:15
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.69%E -3.26%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 23:12
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.69%E -3.26%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 23:15
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.69%E -3.26%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 23:05
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.69%E -3.26%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 20:54
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.69%E -3.26%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.29%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 23:05
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.69%E -3.26%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.83%E -4.00%K -9.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 23:15
Betsson2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -7.14%E -3.50%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -3.57%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 23:15
NordicBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -7.14%E -3.50%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -3.57%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 23:15
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.97%E -4.48%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.11%E -2.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 23:15
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.97%E -4.48%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 23:15
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -11.70%E -6.03%K -12.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-13 23:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%-0.0%2026-05-13 23:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-05-13 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-05-13 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-05-13 23:15
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-13 20:54
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-05-13 22:24
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.2%2026-05-13 23:15
ProphetX2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.2%2026-05-13 23:15
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%3.4%2026-05-13 23:15
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 46.09%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.91%12.4%2026-05-13 23:15