L’École des cotes

Atlanta Braves v Chicago Cubs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-13 23:16 UTC

Score final : Atlanta Braves 4–1 Chicago Cubs

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prévision 45.52%2.20cote équitable
EV +1.05%
Avantage +0.472%
Kelly +0.860%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.93%45.49%45.59%46.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.942.122.132.2251.55%47.15%46.95%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.48%1.84cote équitable
EV -1.93%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -2.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.19%54.51%54.41%56.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.731.731.8059.52%57.71%57.80%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV +1.05%E +0.472%K +0.860%G +0.009%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -4.11%E -2.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-13 23:15
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.138%E +0.063%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.57%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-13 21:39
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +0.138%E +0.063%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -4.11%E -2.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 23:15
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +0.138%E +0.063%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -4.11%E -2.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 23:15
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +0.138%E +0.063%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -4.11%E -2.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 23:14
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV +0.138%E +0.063%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-13 23:15
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV +0.138%E +0.063%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-13 23:15
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV +0.138%E +0.063%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-13 23:15
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV +0.138%E +0.063%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-13 23:15
BetAnything2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -0.772%E -0.354%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -4.11%E -2.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-13 22:30
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.23%E -0.565%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.48%E -1.38%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-13 23:05
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.23%E -0.565%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.83%E -4.00%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 22:09
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -1.23%E -0.565%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 23:15
Bally Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -1.23%E -0.565%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 23:15
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.68%E -0.779%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:15
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.68%E -0.779%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:15
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.93%E -1.07%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 22:35
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 20:50
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 21:33
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 12:05
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 19:35
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 19:35
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.29%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.29%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 19:30
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:09
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:10
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.14%E -0.994%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.92%E -4.69%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 21:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -2.59%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.47%E -5.04%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 23:15
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -2.59%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.47%E -5.04%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 23:15
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -2.59%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.47%E -5.04%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 23:15
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 23:14
SportsBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 23:10
Bet Right2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 20:55
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.29%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 20:49
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.47%E -5.04%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 23:15
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.57%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 20:54
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 23:15
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 20:54
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 14:40
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 20:54
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 20:54
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 21:49
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.29%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 22:30
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.83%E -4.00%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 23:15
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 20:54
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.32%E -2.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.57%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 20:54
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.32%E -2.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 22:33
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.57%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 23:15
MyBookie.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -6.23%E -3.03%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -2.48%E -1.38%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 20:54
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -6.23%E -3.03%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 23:15
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.69%E -3.26%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 23:12
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.69%E -3.26%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 23:15
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.69%E -3.26%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 23:05
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.69%E -3.26%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 20:54
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.69%E -3.26%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.29%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 23:05
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.69%E -3.26%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.83%E -4.00%K -9.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 23:15
Betsson2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -7.14%E -3.50%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -3.57%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 23:15
NordicBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -7.14%E -3.50%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -3.57%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 23:15
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.97%E -4.48%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.11%E -2.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 23:15
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.97%E -4.48%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 23:15
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -11.70%E -6.03%K -12.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-13 23:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%-0.0%2026-05-13 23:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-05-13 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-05-13 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-05-13 23:15
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-13 20:54
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-05-13 22:24
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.2%2026-05-13 23:15
ProphetX2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.2%2026-05-13 23:15
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%3.4%2026-05-13 23:15
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 46.09%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.91%12.4%2026-05-13 23:15