Language:English
Athletics v Washington Nationals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Athletics (Local)
Prediction 45.53%2.20fair odd
EV +1.07%
Edge +0.482%
Kelly +0.878%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 2.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.01%45.58%45.56%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.122.2250.00%47.37%47.17%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Nationals (Visit)
Prediction 54.47%1.84fair odd
EV -0.860%
Edge -0.472%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%54.42%54.44%55.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.751.741.8259.17%57.29%57.47%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 45.53%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 54.47%. For Athletics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.07%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV +1.07%E +0.482%K +0.878%G +0.009% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -4.13%E -2.35%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-18 01:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.160%E +0.073%K +0.133%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-18 00:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -0.295%E -0.135%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -4.13%E -2.35%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-18 01:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.49%E -1.39%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-18 01:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.49%E -1.39%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-18 01:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-17 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-17 22:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.67%E -2.67%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-17 20:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-17 19:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-18 00:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-17 15:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-17 16:07 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-17 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-18 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-18 00:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.94%E -4.70%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-17 20:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -2.57%E -1.20%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -1.40%E -0.776%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-18 01:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.57%E -1.20%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.04%E -1.71%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-18 01:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -3.03%E -1.42%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -0.860%E -0.472%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.03%E -1.42%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.67%E -2.67%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-17 22:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.67%E -2.67%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-17 22:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 22:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 22:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 22:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 22:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 22:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-17 16:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-17 16:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.31%E -3.67%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-17 20:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.31%E -3.67%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-17 20:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.31%E -3.67%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-17 20:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 01:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 00:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.13%E -2.35%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-18 01:37 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 01:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 16:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 16:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 16:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 16:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 16:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 00:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 22:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 22:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.31%E -3.67%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 01:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.30%E -2.55%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.04%E -1.71%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-18 01:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.30%E -2.55%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.67%E -2.67%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 01:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.30%E -2.55%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.67%E -2.67%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 01:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.30%E -2.55%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.67%E -2.67%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 01:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.76%E -2.78%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.40%E -4.35%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 22:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.67%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.95%E -1.08%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-17 23:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.67%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.13%E -2.35%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-18 01:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.67%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.67%E -2.67%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-17 17:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.67%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.67%E -2.67%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 01:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.67%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-18 01:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.67%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 01:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -7.12%E -3.49%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -7.94%E -4.70%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-18 01:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.95%E -4.47%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.67%E -2.67%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 01:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.95%E -4.47%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-18 01:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 0.1% | 2026-07-18 01:39 |
| Novig◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-07-18 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-07-18 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 01:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-17 22:14 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 01:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-07-18 01:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41% | 1.5% | 2026-07-18 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59% | 2.9% | 2026-07-18 01:40 |