The School of Odds

Athletics v Washington Nationals

2026-07-18 01:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 50.30%1.99fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -0.981%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.94%50.32%50.39%51.07%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.821.891.891.9555%53%53%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Washington Nationals (Visit)

Prediction 49.70%2.01fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.552%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%49.68%49.61%51.06%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.851.921.921.9954%52%52%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.91%E -0.981%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-16 22:00
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.91%E -0.981%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-16 22:00
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.91%E -0.981%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-16 22:10
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.91%E -0.981%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-16 22:34
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.91%E -0.981%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-17 02:25
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.10%E -0.552%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-16 22:55
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.07%E -3.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 02:20
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.06%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 02:34
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 22:15
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 01:05
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 01:05
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 01:05
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 02:20
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 23:05
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 22:10
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 22:10
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 22:15
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 02:20
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.06%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 02:25
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 02:20
MyBookie.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.58%E -1.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-17 02:30
DraftKings1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -4.08%E -2.11%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-16 23:49
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 01:05
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 21:05
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 21:05
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 22:10
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 02:35
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.93%E -2.61%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.59%E -1.32%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 02:20
Coolbet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.93%E -2.61%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 01:05
Betr (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.93%E -2.61%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 01:05
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-16 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-16 22:50
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-16 22:50
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-16 22:50
SportsBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 02:20
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 02:20
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 02:20
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 02:20
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 02:25
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 02:25
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 22:15
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 00:05
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.58%E -1.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.58%E -1.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 22:50
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.58%E -1.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 22:50
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.58%E -1.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 22:50
Bally Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.58%E -1.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 22:49
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.58%E -1.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 22:50
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.08%E -2.11%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 22:50
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 01:44
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-16 23:20
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 02:24
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.44%E -3.46%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.58%E -1.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 22:50
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.44%E -3.46%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.58%E -1.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 22:50
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.94%E -3.75%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.08%E -2.11%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 22:50
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.94%E -3.75%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 00:10
betano_uk1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.94%E -3.75%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 00:54
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.95%E -4.34%K -9.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-16 22:50
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -8.45%E -4.64%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.46%EV -7.56%E -4.06%K -8.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 02:00
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.45%E -4.64%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -8.06%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 02:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%0.0%2026-07-17 00:00
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-07-17 01:25
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.0%2026-07-17 02:25
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-16 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-07-17 02:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-07-17 02:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-07-17 02:20
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%5.5%2026-07-17 01:45
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%9.3%2026-07-17 02:35