L’École des cotes

Athletics v Washington Nationals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-18 01:41 UTC

Score final : Athletics 4–23 Washington Nationals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Athletics (Local)

Prévision 45.53%2.20cote équitable
EV +1.07%
Avantage +0.482%
Kelly +0.878%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.01%45.58%45.56%46.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.112.122.2250.00%47.37%47.17%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Nationals (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.47%1.84cote équitable
EV -0.860%
Avantage -0.472%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.25%54.42%54.44%55.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.691.751.741.8259.17%57.29%57.47%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV +1.07%E +0.482%K +0.878%G +0.009%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -4.13%E -2.35%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-18 01:39
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.160%E +0.073%K +0.133%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-18 00:15
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -0.295%E -0.135%K -0.248%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -4.13%E -2.35%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 01:05
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.49%E -1.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-18 01:40
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.49%E -1.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-18 01:40
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-17 22:19
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-17 22:19
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.67%E -2.67%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-17 20:34
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 19:44
MyBookie.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 00:40
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 15:24
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 16:07
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 00:15
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 00:15
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.12%E -0.984%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.94%E -4.70%K -11.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-17 20:34
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -2.57%E -1.20%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -1.40%E -0.776%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-18 01:30
BetAnything2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.57%E -1.20%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.04%E -1.71%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-18 01:40
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -3.03%E -1.42%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -0.860%E -0.472%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-18 00:55
DraftKings2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.03%E -1.42%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 21:24
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.67%E -2.67%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 22:19
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.67%E -2.67%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 22:19
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:20
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:19
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:19
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:19
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:19
Bet Right2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 16:49
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 16:14
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.31%E -3.67%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 20:34
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.31%E -3.67%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 20:34
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.31%E -3.67%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 20:34
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 01:40
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.58%E -2.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 00:00
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.13%E -2.35%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-18 01:37
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 01:40
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 16:19
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 16:19
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 16:49
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 16:19
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 16:14
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 00:15
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 22:20
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 22:19
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 22:19
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.31%E -3.67%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 01:25
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.30%E -2.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.04%E -1.71%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 01:40
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.30%E -2.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.67%E -2.67%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 01:40
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.30%E -2.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.67%E -2.67%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 01:39
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.30%E -2.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.67%E -2.67%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 01:30
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.76%E -2.78%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.40%E -4.35%K -10.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 22:19
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.67%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.95%E -1.08%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 23:14
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.67%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.13%E -2.35%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 01:40
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.67%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.67%E -2.67%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 17:34
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.67%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.67%E -2.67%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 01:30
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.67%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 01:40
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.67%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 01:40
Betclic (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -7.12%E -3.49%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -7.94%E -4.70%K -11.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 01:10
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.95%E -4.47%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.67%E -2.67%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 01:38
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.95%E -4.47%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 01:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%0.1%2026-07-18 01:39
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-07-18 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-07-18 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-07-18 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-07-18 01:40
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-17 22:14
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-18 01:35
ProphetX2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-07-18 01:40
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-07-18 01:40
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%2.9%2026-07-18 01:40