Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.60
assuming max odds 1.62
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 38.27%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 61.73%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.6199. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.6200, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.003%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -11.98%E -5.21%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +0.003%E +0.002%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 00:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.18%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -1.23%E -0.770%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-09 01:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -2.80%E -1.10%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -1.85%E -1.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-09 01:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.26%E -0.490%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.47%E -1.56%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 01:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -2.03%E -0.793%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -2.47%E -1.56%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -2.03%E -0.793%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -2.47%E -1.56%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -3.18%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -2.47%E -1.56%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-08 16:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.47%E -1.56%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-09 01:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.15%E -3.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.47%E -1.56%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.15%E -3.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.47%E -1.56%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 00:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.65%E -0.641%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.08%E -1.96%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.24%E -2.55%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.08%E -1.96%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 01:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.15%E -3.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.08%E -1.96%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 23:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.07%E -4.28%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.08%E -1.96%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 01:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.56%E -1.41%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.70%E -2.37%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 01:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.70%E -2.37%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-08 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.70%E -2.37%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.70%E -2.37%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-08 23:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.70%E -2.37%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-08 23:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -7.39%E -3.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.70%E -2.37%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -7.39%E -3.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.70%E -2.37%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.26%E -0.490%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -4.32%E -2.79%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-08 12:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.32%E -2.79%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 01:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.32%E -2.79%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 01:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.32%E -2.79%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 01:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.32%E -2.79%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -4.71%E -1.89%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -4.32%E -2.79%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 01:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.24%E -2.55%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.32%E -2.79%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 01:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.24%E -2.55%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.32%E -2.79%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 01:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.98%E -5.21%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.32%E -2.79%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 01:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.98%E -5.21%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.32%E -2.79%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 01:28 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.41%E -0.946%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.94%E -3.20%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.56%E -1.41%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.94%E -3.20%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 01:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.94%E -3.20%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 01:38 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.94%E -3.20%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-08 11:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.94%E -3.20%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 01:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.71%E -1.89%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.94%E -3.20%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.24%E -2.55%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.94%E -3.20%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 23:03 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.26%E -0.490%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.55%E -3.63%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-08 23:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.55%E -3.63%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 11:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.55%E -3.63%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.55%E -3.63%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.55%E -3.63%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 11:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.55%E -3.63%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-07 23:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.24%E -2.55%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.55%E -3.63%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 01:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.92%E -3.75%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.55%E -3.63%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.24%E -2.55%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.17%E -4.06%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 01:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.499%E -0.192%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.499%E -0.192%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.499%E -0.192%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.499%E -0.192%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.499%E -0.192%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.499%E -0.192%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.499%E -0.192%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.499%E -0.192%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.499%E -0.192%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.499%E -0.192%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.499%E -0.192%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.15%E -3.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 01:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.41%E -0.946%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.40%E -4.94%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.41%E -0.946%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.40%E -4.94%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -2.41%E -0.946%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.02%E -5.38%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -2.41%E -0.946%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.02%E -5.38%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -10.49%E -7.24%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 01:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-09-09 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.59I 38.61%NM 38.19% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.81% | 1.1% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-09-08 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.0% | 2026-09-09 01:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84% | 2.4% | 2026-09-09 01:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.6% | 2026-09-09 01:40 |