Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics v Toronto Blue Jays

Início: 2026-09-09 01:41 UTC

Final: Athletics 2–4 Toronto Blue Jays

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Previsão 38.27%2.61odd justa
EV -0.499%
Vantagem -0.192%
Kelly -0.312%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.71%38.30%38.28%41.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.502.502.6043.48%39.96%40.00%38.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Previsão 61.73%1.62odd justa
EV +0.003%
Vantagem +0.002%
Kelly +0.005%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.67%61.70%61.72%63.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.451.541.541.6268.97%64.87%64.94%61.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Athletics (Local): 38.27%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 61.73%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.6199. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.6200, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.003%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -11.98%E -5.21%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +0.003%E +0.002%K +0.005%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 00:44
1xBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.18%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -1.23%E -0.770%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-09 01:34
Pinnacle🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -2.80%E -1.10%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -1.85%E -1.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-09 01:35
GTbets🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.26%E -0.490%K -0.800%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.47%E -1.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 01:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -2.03%E -0.793%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -2.47%E -1.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 01:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -2.03%E -0.793%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -2.47%E -1.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 01:39
BetUS🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -3.18%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -2.47%E -1.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-08 16:49
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.47%E -1.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-09 01:09
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.15%E -3.40%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.47%E -1.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.15%E -3.40%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.47%E -1.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 00:00
Everygame🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.65%E -0.641%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.08%E -1.96%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-09 01:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.24%E -2.55%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.08%E -1.96%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 01:35
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.15%E -3.40%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.08%E -1.96%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 23:04
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.07%E -4.28%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.08%E -1.96%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 01:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.56%E -1.41%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.70%E -2.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 01:34
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.70%E -2.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 23:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.70%E -2.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 23:19
ReBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.70%E -2.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 23:24
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.70%E -2.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 23:04
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -7.39%E -3.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.70%E -2.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 23:19
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -7.39%E -3.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.70%E -2.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 23:19
theScore Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.26%E -0.490%K -0.800%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -4.32%E -2.79%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-08 12:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.32%E -2.79%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 01:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.32%E -2.79%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 01:09
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.32%E -2.79%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 01:10
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.32%E -2.79%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 01:39
Bovada🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -4.71%E -1.89%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -4.32%E -2.79%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:20
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.24%E -2.55%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.32%E -2.79%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.24%E -2.55%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.32%E -2.79%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:30
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.98%E -5.21%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.32%E -2.79%K -7.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 01:29
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.98%E -5.21%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.32%E -2.79%K -7.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 01:28
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.41%E -0.946%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.94%E -3.20%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 18:00
DraftKings🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.56%E -1.41%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.94%E -3.20%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 01:29
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.94%E -3.20%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 01:38
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.94%E -3.20%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 11:25
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.94%E -3.20%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 01:09
SportsBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.71%E -1.89%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.94%E -3.20%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.24%E -2.55%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.94%E -3.20%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 23:03
Caesars🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.26%E -0.490%K -0.800%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.55%E -3.63%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 23:44
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.55%E -3.63%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.55%E -3.63%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 01:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.55%E -3.63%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.55%E -3.63%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 11:25
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.55%E -3.63%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 23:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.24%E -2.55%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.55%E -3.63%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 01:29
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.92%E -3.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.55%E -3.63%K -10.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.24%E -2.55%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.17%E -4.06%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 01:30
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.499%E -0.192%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:39
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.499%E -0.192%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.499%E -0.192%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:39
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.499%E -0.192%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.499%E -0.192%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:39
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.499%E -0.192%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.499%E -0.192%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:39
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.499%E -0.192%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.499%E -0.192%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:39
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.499%E -0.192%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.499%E -0.192%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.15%E -3.40%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.79%E -4.49%K -13.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 01:28
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.41%E -0.946%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.40%E -4.94%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 21:00
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.41%E -0.946%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.40%E -4.94%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 01:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -2.41%E -0.946%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.02%E -5.38%K -16.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 01:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -2.41%E -0.946%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.02%E -5.38%K -16.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 01:39
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -4.33%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -10.49%E -7.24%K -23.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 01:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-09-09 01:39
Matchbook◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-09-09 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%1.0%2026-09-09 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%1.0%2026-09-09 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%1.0%2026-09-09 01:39
BetOpenly◎2.59I 38.61%NM 38.19%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.81%1.1%2026-09-09 01:39
Polymarket◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-09-08 22:55
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.0%2026-09-09 01:25
Smarkets◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.4%2026-09-09 01:40
Novig◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.6%2026-09-09 01:40