Language:English
Athletics v Tampa Bay Rays
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Athletics (Local)
Prediction 36.86%2.71fair odd
EV +1.37%
Edge +0.498%
Kelly +0.783%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.83%36.86%36.89%38.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.582.572.7540.82%38.78%38.91%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)
Prediction 63.14%1.58fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.965%
Kelly -2.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.25%63.14%63.11%65.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.521.521.5669.44%65.91%65.79%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 36.86%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 63.14%. For Athletics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.90%EV +1.37%E +0.498%K +0.783%G +0.011% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.10%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.3% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV +1.37%E +0.498%K +0.783%G +0.011% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-12 01:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.104%E -0.038%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 01:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.56%EV -0.841%E -0.313%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.44%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-11 23:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -1.21%E -0.451%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-12 01:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -1.58%E -0.591%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-12 01:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -1.95%E -0.732%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 01:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV -2.32%E -0.874%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -1.50%E -0.965%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-12 01:37 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.32%E -0.874%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-12 01:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-12 01:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -3.05%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-12 01:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -3.42%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-12 01:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.42%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.08%E -6.31%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 01:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-12 01:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 01:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-11 23:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 23:48 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 01:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 01:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 23:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-11 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -4.53%E -1.75%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 01:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.90%E -1.90%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-12 01:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.26%E -2.05%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 23:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.26%E -2.05%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 23:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 23:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 23:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 01:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 01:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 21:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 23:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 01:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 01:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 01:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.92%E -3.98%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 01:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -6.37%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 01:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 01:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 01:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-12 01:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-12 01:28 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 23:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -8.95%E -3.62%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-12 01:13 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.69%E -3.95%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 01:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.69%E -3.95%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 01:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.69%E -3.95%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-08-12 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-08-12 01:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 0.7% | 2026-08-12 01:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04% | 0.7% | 2026-08-12 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04% | 0.7% | 2026-08-12 01:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-08-12 00:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-08-12 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 1.0% | 2026-08-12 01:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.65I 37.74%NM 37.35% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.65% | 1.0% | 2026-08-12 01:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02% | 1.4% | 2026-08-12 01:40 |