Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics v Tampa Bay Rays

Inicio: 2026-08-12 01:41 UTC

Final: Athletics 4–12 Tampa Bay Rays

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Predicción 36.86%2.71momio equitativo
EV +1.37%
Ventaja +0.498%
Kelly +0.783%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.83%36.86%36.89%38.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.582.572.7540.82%38.78%38.91%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante)

Predicción 63.14%1.58momio equitativo
EV -1.50%
Ventaja -0.965%
Kelly -2.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.25%63.14%63.11%65.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.521.521.5669.44%65.91%65.79%64.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Athletics (Local): 36.86%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante): 63.14%. Para Athletics (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.71. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.37%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.90%EV +1.37%E +0.498%K +0.783%G +0.011%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.10%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.3%2026-08-11 23:49
Fliff🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV +1.37%E +0.498%K +0.783%G +0.011%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-12 01:19
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.104%E -0.038%K -0.061%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 01:40
DraftKings🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 36.56%EV -0.841%E -0.313%K -0.498%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.44%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-11 23:05
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -1.21%E -0.451%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-12 01:25
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -1.58%E -0.591%K -0.945%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 01:24
Bovada🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -1.95%E -0.732%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 01:39
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV -2.32%E -0.874%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -1.50%E -0.965%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-12 01:37
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.32%E -0.874%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 23:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-12 01:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-12 01:39
BetAnything🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -3.05%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-12 01:39
GTbets🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -3.42%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-12 01:39
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.42%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.08%E -6.31%K -20.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-12 01:24
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-12 01:39
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-11 23:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-11 23:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-12 01:39
ReBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-11 23:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 23:49
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 23:48
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 23:55
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 01:39
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 01:25
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 23:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 23:55
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 23:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 23:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -4.53%E -1.75%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 01:34
MyBookie.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.90%E -1.90%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 01:38
Betsson🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.26%E -2.05%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 23:50
NordicBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.26%E -2.05%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 23:49
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:10
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:45
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:09
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:10
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 01:39
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 23:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 01:29
888sport🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 21:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 21:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 21:50
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 01:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 01:14
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 01:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.92%E -3.98%K -12.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 01:39
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -6.37%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 01:40
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 01:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 01:39
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 01:29
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 01:28
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 23:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 23:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -8.95%E -3.62%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-12 01:13
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.69%E -3.95%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 01:39
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.69%E -3.95%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 01:39
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.69%E -3.95%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 23:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-08-12 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-08-12 01:40
Novig◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%0.7%2026-08-12 01:40
Matchbook◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%0.7%2026-08-12 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%0.7%2026-08-12 01:40
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-08-12 00:35
Polymarket◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-08-12 01:40
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-08-12 01:40
BetOpenly◎2.65I 37.74%NM 37.35%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.65%1.0%2026-08-12 01:39
ProphetX◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%1.4%2026-08-12 01:40