Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics v Seattle Mariners

Kickoff: 2026-09-13 01:41 UTC

Final: Athletics 1–19 Seattle Mariners

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 41.81%2.39fair odd
EV -0.483%
Edge -0.203%
Kelly -0.350%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%41.87%41.82%43.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.262.252.3846.51%44.26%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Mariners (Visit)

Prediction 58.19%1.72fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.986%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.58%58.13%58.18%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.641.651.6964.10%60.81%60.61%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 41.81%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 58.19%. For Athletics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.38, with an expected value of -0.483%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.483%E -0.203%K -0.350%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.65%E -5.51%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 01:40
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -1.32%E -0.559%K -0.970%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.74%E -3.54%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 00:20
GTbets🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.74%E -0.739%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.25%E -1.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-13 01:00
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.74%E -0.739%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.99%E -2.42%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-12 22:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.74%E -0.739%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.16%E -3.16%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 22:10
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.74%E -0.739%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.74%E -3.54%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 00:20
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.74%E -0.739%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.90%E -4.31%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 00:20
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.16%E -0.921%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.25%E -1.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 01:40
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.57%E -1.10%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.67%E -0.986%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-13 01:15
Everygame🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.57%E -1.10%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.67%E -0.986%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-12 22:13
LowVig.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.57%E -1.10%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.25%E -1.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-13 01:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.57%E -1.10%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.25%E -1.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-13 01:00
BetUS🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.57%E -1.10%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.25%E -1.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-12 22:35
BetAnything🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -2.57%E -1.10%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -2.83%E -1.69%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-13 00:24
MyBookie.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -3.41%E -1.48%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.99%E -2.42%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 00:34
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.83%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.99%E -2.42%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 22:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.83%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.99%E -2.42%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 00:25
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.83%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.16%E -3.16%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 01:30
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.83%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.74%E -3.54%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.83%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.74%E -3.54%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 23:05
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.83%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.74%E -3.54%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 00:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.83%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.74%E -3.54%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 23:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.83%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.74%E -3.54%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 23:04
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.83%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.74%E -3.54%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 22:25
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.83%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.65%E -5.51%K -15.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 00:10
Bovada🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.66%E -2.05%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.99%E -2.42%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 01:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.50%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.57%E -2.79%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 01:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.92%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.25%E -1.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 01:40
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.92%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.25%E -1.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 01:15
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.92%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.83%E -1.69%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 00:05
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.92%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.99%E -2.42%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 23:55
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.92%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.99%E -2.42%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 01:00
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.92%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.99%E -2.42%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.92%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.99%E -2.42%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 01:00
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.92%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.99%E -2.42%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 01:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.92%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.99%E -2.42%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 01:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.92%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.74%E -3.54%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 01:25
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.92%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.90%E -4.31%K -11.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 01:41
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.25%E -1.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 01:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.25%E -1.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 01:40
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.57%E -2.79%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 01:40
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.57%E -2.79%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 01:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.57%E -2.79%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 01:40
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.17%E -3.23%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.41%E -2.05%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 01:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.84%EV -7.59%E -3.43%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.16%EV -7.48%E -4.71%K -12.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 01:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.01%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.25%E -1.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 01:40
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.01%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.25%E -1.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 01:40
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.01%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.25%E -1.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 01:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.01%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.25%E -1.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.01%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.83%E -1.69%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 01:00
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.01%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.83%E -1.69%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 01:00
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.01%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.83%E -1.69%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 01:39
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.01%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.83%E -1.69%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 01:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.01%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.41%E -2.05%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 01:40
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.01%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.99%E -2.42%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 01:28
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.01%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.57%E -2.79%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 01:40
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.01%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.74%E -3.54%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 01:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.01%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.32%E -3.93%K -10.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 01:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.01%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.90%E -4.31%K -11.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.01%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -9.23%E -5.92%K -16.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 01:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -9.26%E -4.27%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -3.99%E -2.42%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 01:40
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.10%E -4.70%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.99%E -2.42%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 01:40
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -10.10%E -4.70%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.74%E -3.54%K -9.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 01:40
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.10%E -4.70%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.32%E -3.93%K -10.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 01:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%0.1%2026-09-13 01:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-09-13 01:40
Novig◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-09-13 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-09-13 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-09-13 01:40
Polymarket◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-09-13 01:40
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-09-13 01:40
ProphetX◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-09-13 01:10
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%1.5%2026-09-13 01:40
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%3.0%2026-09-13 01:40