Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics v Seattle Mariners

2026-09-13 01:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Predicción 39.10%2.56momio equitativo
EV -1.08%
Ventaja -0.428%
Kelly -0.708%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.97%39.06%39.05%40.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.452.452.5343.48%40.84%40.82%39.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Predicción 60.90%1.64momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -3.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.49%60.94%60.95%62.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.561.561.6166.67%63.93%64.10%62.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Athletics (Local): 39.10%; Seattle Mariners (Visitante): 60.90%. Para Athletics (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.56. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.53, con un valor esperado de -1.08%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -1.08%E -0.428%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.56%E -1.60%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-12 16:05
Everygame🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -1.08%E -0.428%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.56%E -1.60%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-12 14:20
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -1.87%E -0.743%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -1.95%E -1.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-12 15:25
GTbets🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -1.87%E -0.743%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -2.56%E -1.60%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -2.26%E -0.902%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.56%E -1.60%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-12 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -2.26%E -0.902%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.56%E -1.60%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-12 14:34
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.26%E -0.902%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.26%E -0.902%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 14:35
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.26%E -0.902%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.21%E -4.03%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 15:15
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.26%E -0.902%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:44
SportsBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -2.65%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -6.21%E -4.03%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
BetAnything🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.04%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.56%E -1.60%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-12 20:20
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.04%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.04%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.04%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 14:50
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.04%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 14:50
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.04%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 14:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.04%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 14:50
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.04%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 14:49
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.04%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 14:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.04%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 14:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.04%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 14:50
BetUS🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.43%E -1.39%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.56%E -1.60%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-12 16:30
ReBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.21%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.17%E -1.99%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 19:45
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.21%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.17%E -1.99%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 14:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.21%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.77%E -2.39%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 14:43
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.21%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 14:20
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.21%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 15:25
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.21%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.21%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.21%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Betway🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.21%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.21%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.21%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 15:25
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.21%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 19:20
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.21%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 15:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.21%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.60%E -3.61%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 15:25
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.21%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.60%E -3.61%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:50
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.21%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.21%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.21%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 15:20
DraftKings🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -4.60%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Caesars🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.17%E -1.99%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 15:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.82%E -4.46%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:50
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.38%E -2.22%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 14:25
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.38%E -2.22%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 14:25
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.77%E -2.39%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 14:19
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 14:20
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 14:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 19:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.99%E -3.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.60%E -3.61%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 14:20
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.60%E -3.61%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 14:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.60%E -3.61%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.17%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.60%E -3.61%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:20
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.95%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -8.65%E -5.76%K -17.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.56%E -1.60%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 15:25
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.56%E -1.60%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 15:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -10.08%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -7.43%E -4.89%K -14.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-09-12 19:30
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-09-12 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-09-12 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-09-12 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-09-12 20:10
ProphetX2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-09-12 19:30
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-09-12 17:15
Novig2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-09-12 18:50
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.2%2026-09-12 20:10