Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics v Pittsburgh Pirates

Kickoff: 2026-06-18 01:41 UTC

Final: Athletics 4–12 Pittsburgh Pirates

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 44.45%2.25fair odd
EV +0.004%
Edge +0.002%
Kelly +0.003%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.22%44.55%44.42%46.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.122.2550.00%46.80%47.17%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 55.55%1.80fair odd
EV +1.11%
Edge +0.609%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.33%55.45%55.58%56.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.731.731.8260.24%57.92%57.80%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 44.45%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 55.55%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -5.33%E -2.50%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV +1.11%E +0.609%K +1.35%G +0.015%1.9%2026-06-17 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -1.11%E -0.626%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-18 01:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -4.44%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -1.67%E -0.943%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-18 01:40
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.33%E -0.599%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-18 01:39
Everygame🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.33%E -0.599%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-18 01:30
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.22%E -1.01%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 01:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.89%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 01:40
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.89%E -2.28%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.78%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 01:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.77%E -2.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.78%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 01:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.77%E -2.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.78%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 01:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.78%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 01:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.55%E -3.63%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.78%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 00:40
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.89%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.78%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 01:36
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.11%E -5.55%K -11.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.78%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-18 01:38
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.004%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-18 01:10
BetAnything🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.885%E -0.397%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 01:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.33%E -0.599%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-18 01:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.33%E -0.599%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-18 01:10
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.44%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 00:10
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.77%E -2.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.77%E -2.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 01:30
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.77%E -2.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 01:30
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.77%E -2.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 01:30
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.77%E -2.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 01:30
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.77%E -2.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 01:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.77%E -2.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 01:30
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.89%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 01:40
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.89%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 01:40
Bet Right🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.77%E -2.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 01:10
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.77%E -2.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 01:10
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 23:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 22:50
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 01:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 01:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 01:30
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 01:30
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 23:40
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.77%E -2.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.45%E -2.59%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 01:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.77%E -2.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.45%E -2.59%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 01:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.22%E -1.01%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.00%E -2.93%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 01:10
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.22%E -1.01%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.00%E -2.93%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 01:20
Bovada🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.55%E -1.64%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.00%E -2.93%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 01:39
NordicBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.89%E -2.28%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.00%E -2.93%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 01:40
Betsson🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.89%E -2.28%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.00%E -2.93%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 01:40
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -7.55%E -3.63%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.00%E -2.93%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-18 01:30
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.22%E -1.01%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.22%E -1.01%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 01:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.22%E -1.01%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 01:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.44%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 01:39
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.44%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 01:39
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 01:40
Caesars🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.33%E -0.599%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.11%E -3.62%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-18 01:40
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.22%E -1.01%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.11%E -3.62%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 01:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.22%E -1.01%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.11%E -3.62%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 00:50
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.11%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.11%E -3.62%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 01:39
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.44%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.11%E -3.62%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-18 01:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.44%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.11%E -3.62%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-18 01:29
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.44%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.23%E -4.33%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 01:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.44%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.23%E -4.33%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 01:20
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.44%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.23%E -4.33%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 01:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -7.11%E -3.40%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -7.78%E -4.69%K -11.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-18 01:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%0.1%2026-06-18 01:40
BetOpenly2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-06-18 01:39
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-18 01:10
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-18 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-18 01:40
ProphetX2.21I 45.25%NM 44.47%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.53%1.7%2026-06-18 01:40
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-06-18 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-06-18 01:40
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-06-18 01:30
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%6.3%2026-06-18 01:40