La escuela de los momios

Athletics v Pittsburgh Pirates

Inicio: 2026-06-18 01:41 UTC

Final: Athletics 4–12 Pittsburgh Pirates

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Athletics (Local)

Predicción 44.45%2.25momio equitativo
EV +0.004%
Ventaja +0.002%
Kelly +0.003%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.22%44.55%44.42%46.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.122.2550.00%46.80%47.17%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Predicción 55.55%1.80momio equitativo
EV +1.11%
Ventaja +0.609%
Kelly +1.35%
Crecimiento +0.015%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.33%55.45%55.58%56.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.731.731.8260.24%57.92%57.80%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -5.33%E -2.50%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV +1.11%E +0.609%K +1.35%G +0.015%1.9%2026-06-17 22:50
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -1.11%E -0.626%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-18 01:40
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -4.44%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -1.67%E -0.943%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-18 01:40
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.33%E -0.599%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-18 01:39
Everygame2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.33%E -0.599%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-18 01:30
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.22%E -1.01%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 01:39
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.89%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 01:40
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.89%E -2.28%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.78%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 01:40
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.77%E -2.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.78%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 01:40
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.77%E -2.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.78%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 01:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.78%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 01:40
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.55%E -3.63%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.78%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 00:40
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.89%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.78%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 01:36
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.11%E -5.55%K -11.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.78%E -1.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-18 01:38
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.004%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-18 01:10
BetAnything2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.885%E -0.397%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 01:39
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.33%E -0.599%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-18 01:10
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.33%E -0.599%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-18 01:10
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.44%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 00:10
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.77%E -2.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.77%E -2.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 01:30
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.77%E -2.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 01:30
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.77%E -2.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 01:30
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.77%E -2.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 01:30
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.77%E -2.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 01:30
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.77%E -2.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 01:30
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:40
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.89%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 01:40
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.89%E -4.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.34%E -1.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 01:40
Bet Right2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.77%E -2.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 01:10
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.77%E -2.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 01:10
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 22:50
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 23:30
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 22:50
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 22:50
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 01:30
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 01:30
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 01:30
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 01:30
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 23:40
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.77%E -2.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.45%E -2.59%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 01:10
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.77%E -2.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.45%E -2.59%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 01:30
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.22%E -1.01%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.00%E -2.93%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 01:10
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.22%E -1.01%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.00%E -2.93%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 01:20
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.55%E -1.64%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.00%E -2.93%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 01:39
NordicBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.89%E -2.28%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.00%E -2.93%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 01:40
Betsson2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.89%E -2.28%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.00%E -2.93%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 01:40
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -7.55%E -3.63%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.00%E -2.93%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-18 01:30
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.22%E -1.01%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.22%E -1.01%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 01:39
MyBookie.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.22%E -1.01%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 01:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.44%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 01:39
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.44%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 01:39
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.66%E -3.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.56%E -3.27%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 01:40
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.33%E -0.599%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.11%E -3.62%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-18 01:40
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.22%E -1.01%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.11%E -3.62%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 01:40
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.22%E -1.01%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.11%E -3.62%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 00:50
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.11%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.11%E -3.62%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 01:39
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.44%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.11%E -3.62%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-18 01:40
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.44%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.11%E -3.62%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-18 01:29
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.44%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.23%E -4.33%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 01:40
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.44%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.23%E -4.33%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 01:20
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.44%E -2.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.23%E -4.33%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 01:20
Betclic (FR)2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -7.11%E -3.40%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -7.78%E -4.69%K -11.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-18 01:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%0.1%2026-06-18 01:40
BetOpenly2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-06-18 01:39
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-18 01:10
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-18 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-18 01:40
ProphetX2.21I 45.25%NM 44.47%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.53%1.7%2026-06-18 01:40
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-06-18 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-06-18 01:40
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-06-18 01:30
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%6.3%2026-06-18 01:40