Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics v Pittsburgh Pirates

Kickoff: 2026-06-16 01:41 UTC

Final: Athletics 11–2 Pittsburgh Pirates

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 53.31%1.88fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.749%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.38%53.33%53.25%54.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.791.801.8557.14%55.79%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 46.69%2.14fair odd
EV -0.073%
Edge -0.034%
Kelly -0.064%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.55%46.67%46.75%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.042.052.1450.76%48.90%48.78%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 53.31%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 46.69%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.142. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.140, with an expected value of -0.073%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.39%E -0.749%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.87%E -1.38%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-15 12:30
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.45%E -1.34%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.01%E -0.475%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-16 01:39
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.45%E -1.34%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.94%E -0.924%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-16 01:10
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.45%E -1.34%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.94%E -0.924%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-16 01:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.45%E -1.34%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.81%E -1.85%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-16 01:30
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.52%E -1.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.540%E -0.253%K -0.478%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-16 01:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.52%E -1.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.01%E -0.475%K -0.899%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-16 01:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.52%E -1.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.01%E -0.475%K -0.899%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-16 01:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.52%E -1.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 00:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.52%E -1.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.74%E -2.32%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 01:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.52%E -1.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.74%E -2.32%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 01:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 00:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 12:10
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 00:20
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 12:10
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 17:28
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 00:18
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 00:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 00:20
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 23:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 01:40
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 23:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 01:30
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 00:00
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 01:30
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 01:30
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 01:30
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 01:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 01:30
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 01:30
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.61%E -3.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 11:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.61%E -3.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 01:40
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.61%E -3.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 01:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.54%E -3.81%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 01:40
BetAnything🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -0.073%E -0.034%K -0.064%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-16 01:39
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.87%E -1.38%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 01:40
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.74%E -2.32%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 00:19
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 23:49
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 23:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 01:30
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 01:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 01:30
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 01:30
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.12%E -2.87%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 01:40
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.12%E -2.87%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.12%E -2.87%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.12%E -2.87%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.74%E -2.32%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 01:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.12%E -2.87%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.61%E -3.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 01:29
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.12%E -2.87%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.61%E -3.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 01:30
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.65%E -3.19%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.94%E -0.924%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 01:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.65%E -3.19%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.94%E -0.924%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 01:40
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.65%E -3.19%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.81%E -1.85%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 01:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.65%E -3.19%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 01:30
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.65%E -3.19%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.61%E -3.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 01:40
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -6.18%E -3.51%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -2.41%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 01:39
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 00:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 00:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 23:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 10:50
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.61%E -3.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 01:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.01%E -4.07%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 01:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-06-16 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-06-16 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-06-16 01:40
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-16 01:40
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-06-16 01:40
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-06-16 01:39
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.7%2026-06-16 01:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-06-16 01:40
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-06-16 01:40