Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics v Pittsburgh Pirates

Início: 2026-06-16 01:41 UTC

Final: Athletics 11–2 Pittsburgh Pirates

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Previsão 53.31%1.88odd justa
EV -1.39%
Vantagem -0.749%
Kelly -1.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.38%53.33%53.25%54.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.791.801.8557.14%55.79%55.56%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Previsão 46.69%2.14odd justa
EV -0.073%
Vantagem -0.034%
Kelly -0.064%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.55%46.67%46.75%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.972.042.052.1450.76%48.90%48.78%46.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Athletics (Local): 53.31%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 46.69%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.142. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.140, com valor esperado de -0.073%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.39%E -0.749%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.87%E -1.38%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-15 12:30
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.45%E -1.34%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.01%E -0.475%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-16 01:39
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.45%E -1.34%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.94%E -0.924%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-16 01:10
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.45%E -1.34%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.94%E -0.924%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-16 01:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.45%E -1.34%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.81%E -1.85%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-16 01:30
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.52%E -1.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.540%E -0.253%K -0.478%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-16 01:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.52%E -1.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.01%E -0.475%K -0.899%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-16 01:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.52%E -1.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.01%E -0.475%K -0.899%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-16 01:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.52%E -1.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 00:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.52%E -1.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.74%E -2.32%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 01:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.52%E -1.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.74%E -2.32%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 01:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 00:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 12:10
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 00:20
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 12:10
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 17:28
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 00:18
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 00:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 00:20
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 23:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 01:40
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 23:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 01:30
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 00:00
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 01:30
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 01:30
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 01:30
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 01:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 01:30
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 01:30
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.61%E -3.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 11:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.61%E -3.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 01:40
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.61%E -3.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 01:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.05%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.54%E -3.81%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 01:40
BetAnything🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -0.073%E -0.034%K -0.064%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-16 01:39
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.87%E -1.38%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 01:40
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.74%E -2.32%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 00:19
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 23:49
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 23:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 01:30
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 01:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 01:30
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 01:30
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.12%E -2.87%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 01:40
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.12%E -2.87%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.12%E -2.87%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.12%E -2.87%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.74%E -2.32%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 01:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.12%E -2.87%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.61%E -3.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 01:29
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.12%E -2.87%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.61%E -3.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 01:30
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.65%E -3.19%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.94%E -0.924%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 01:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.65%E -3.19%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.94%E -0.924%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 01:40
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.65%E -3.19%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.81%E -1.85%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 01:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.65%E -3.19%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 01:30
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.65%E -3.19%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.61%E -3.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 01:40
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -6.18%E -3.51%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -2.41%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 01:39
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 00:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 00:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 23:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 10:50
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.61%E -3.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 01:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.72%E -3.84%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.01%E -4.07%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 01:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-06-16 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-06-16 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-06-16 01:40
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-16 01:40
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-06-16 01:40
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-06-16 01:39
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.7%2026-06-16 01:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-06-16 01:40
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-06-16 01:40