Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics v Minnesota Twins

Kickoff: 2026-08-25 01:41 UTC

Final: Athletics 6–9 Minnesota Twins

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 42.80%2.34fair odd
EV -0.270%
Edge -0.116%
Kelly -0.203%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.18%42.84%42.82%43.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.232.232.3346.73%44.78%44.84%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Twins (Visit)

Prediction 57.20%1.75fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -3.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.27%57.16%57.18%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.671.681.7162.11%59.74%59.52%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 42.80%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 57.20%. For Athletics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.33, with an expected value of -0.270%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.270%E -0.116%K -0.203%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-24 18:45
DraftKings🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%EV -1.13%E -0.487%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%EV -2.19%E -1.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-24 20:59
Caesars🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%EV -1.13%E -0.487%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%EV -2.19%E -1.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-25 01:29
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.13%E -0.487%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-24 21:04
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.55%E -0.676%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.19%E -1.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-24 20:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.55%E -0.676%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.19%E -1.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-24 20:54
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.55%E -0.676%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.34%E -4.53%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-24 21:04
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.55%E -0.676%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.91%E -4.91%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-24 22:54
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.98%E -0.866%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.19%E -1.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-24 20:59
GTbets🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.98%E -0.866%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.19%E -1.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-24 23:39
BetUS🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.98%E -0.866%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-25 01:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -2.41%E -1.06%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.19%E -1.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-24 23:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -2.41%E -1.06%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.19%E -1.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-24 23:39
Bovada🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -2.84%E -1.25%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 01:39
theScore Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-24 20:59
BetAnything🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-24 20:54
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-24 22:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-24 22:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-24 18:33
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-24 20:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-24 23:44
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 20:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 20:59
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 20:50
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 20:59
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 18:33
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 18:33
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 18:33
Bet Right🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.12%E -1.84%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-24 20:38
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-24 22:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-24 22:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-24 22:04
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-24 22:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-24 22:04
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-24 22:04
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-24 22:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-24 22:04
SportsBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 20:54
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 20:58
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.98%E -2.24%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 20:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.19%E -1.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 00:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 20:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-24 20:50
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-24 20:50
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-24 20:33
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 20:54
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 22:04
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 18:33
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 01:39
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 01:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 20:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 01:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-24 20:54
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.34%E -4.53%K -11.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 23:14
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.69%E -3.07%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 20:50
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.69%E -3.07%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 20:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.69%E -3.07%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-24 22:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.69%E -3.07%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-24 22:04
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.97%E -3.71%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 01:34
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.97%E -3.71%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 01:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.97%E -3.71%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.20%E -3.78%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 20:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.97%E -3.71%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.77%E -4.15%K -10.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-25 01:13
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -8.40%E -3.93%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -7.34%E -4.53%K -11.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-24 22:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-08-25 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-08-25 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-08-25 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-08-25 01:39
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%0.7%2026-08-25 01:39
BetOpenly2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-25 01:39
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-25 01:39
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-24 20:44
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%1.6%2026-08-25 01:39
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%1.9%2026-08-25 01:24