Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-08-25 01:41 UTC

Final: Athletics 6–9 Minnesota Twins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Previsão 42.80%2.34odd justa
EV -0.270%
Vantagem -0.116%
Kelly -0.203%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.18%42.84%42.82%43.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.142.232.232.3346.73%44.78%44.84%42.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 57.20%1.75odd justa
EV -2.19%
Vantagem -1.28%
Kelly -3.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.27%57.16%57.18%58.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.611.671.681.7162.11%59.74%59.52%58.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Athletics (Local): 42.80%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 57.20%. Para Athletics (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.34. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.33, com valor esperado de -0.270%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.270%E -0.116%K -0.203%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-24 18:45
DraftKings🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%EV -1.13%E -0.487%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%EV -2.19%E -1.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-24 20:59
Caesars🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%EV -1.13%E -0.487%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%EV -2.19%E -1.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-25 01:29
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.13%E -0.487%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-24 21:04
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.55%E -0.676%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.19%E -1.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-24 20:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.55%E -0.676%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.19%E -1.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-24 20:54
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.55%E -0.676%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.34%E -4.53%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-24 21:04
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.55%E -0.676%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.91%E -4.91%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-24 22:54
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.98%E -0.866%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.19%E -1.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-24 20:59
GTbets🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.98%E -0.866%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.19%E -1.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-24 23:39
BetUS🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.98%E -0.866%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-25 01:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -2.41%E -1.06%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.19%E -1.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-24 23:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -2.41%E -1.06%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.19%E -1.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-24 23:39
Bovada🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -2.84%E -1.25%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 01:39
theScore Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-24 20:59
BetAnything🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-24 20:54
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-24 22:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-24 22:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-24 18:33
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.34%E -1.97%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-24 20:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-24 23:44
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 20:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 20:59
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 20:50
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 20:59
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 18:33
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 18:33
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 18:33
Bet Right🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.12%E -1.84%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-24 20:38
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-24 22:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-24 22:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-24 22:04
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-24 22:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-24 22:04
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-24 22:04
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-24 22:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-24 22:04
SportsBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 20:54
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.55%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 20:58
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.98%E -2.24%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 20:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.19%E -1.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 00:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 20:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-24 20:50
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-24 20:50
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-24 20:33
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 20:54
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 22:04
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 18:33
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 01:39
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 01:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.05%E -3.04%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 20:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 01:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-24 20:54
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.34%E -4.53%K -11.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 23:14
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.69%E -3.07%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 20:50
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.69%E -3.07%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 20:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.69%E -3.07%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-24 22:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.69%E -3.07%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-24 22:04
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.97%E -3.71%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 01:34
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.97%E -3.71%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 01:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.97%E -3.71%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.20%E -3.78%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 20:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.97%E -3.71%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.77%E -4.15%K -10.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-25 01:13
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -8.40%E -3.93%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -7.34%E -4.53%K -11.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-24 22:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-08-25 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-08-25 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-08-25 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-08-25 01:39
Novig◎2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%0.7%2026-08-25 01:39
BetOpenly◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-25 01:39
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-25 01:39
Polymarket◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-24 20:44
ProphetX◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%1.6%2026-08-25 01:39
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%1.9%2026-08-25 01:24