Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics v Houston Astros

Kickoff: 2026-09-27 19:06 UTC

Final: Athletics 0–9 Houston Astros

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 36.39%2.75fair odd
EV +0.069%
Edge +0.025%
Kelly +0.039%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.37%36.36%36.39%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.602.602.7541.67%38.44%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Astros (Visit)

Prediction 63.61%1.57fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.905%
Kelly -2.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%63.64%63.61%65.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.501.501.5569.93%66.65%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 36.39%; Houston Astros (Visit): 63.61%. For Athletics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.748. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.750, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.069%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV +0.069%E +0.025%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.58%E -3.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-27 18:04
Dabble (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.069%E +0.025%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 18:55
Pinnacle🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.75%E -0.648%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.67%E -1.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-27 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.75%E -0.648%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.58%E -3.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-27 19:05
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.75%E -0.648%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 19:05
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -2.84%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.40%E -0.905%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-27 18:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -2.84%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -2.04%E -1.32%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-27 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -2.84%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -2.04%E -1.32%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-27 18:35
GTbets🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.04%E -1.32%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-27 18:35
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 17:15
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 17:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.58%E -3.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-27 17:40
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.58%E -3.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-27 17:45
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.58%E -3.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-27 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 19:04
Betway🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 19:05
888sport🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.49%E -4.42%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.49%E -4.42%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.49%E -4.42%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 17:45
FanDuel🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.93%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 17:40
BetAnything🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -4.30%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -2.04%E -1.32%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-27 18:35
Bovada🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -4.30%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 18:55
DraftKings🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.30%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.58%E -3.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 18:35
BetUS🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.04%E -1.32%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-27 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.58%E -3.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 16:25
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.58%E -3.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 16:25
SportsBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -5.03%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.58%E -3.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.67%E -1.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 18:00
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 16:24
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 19:00
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 18:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 19:04
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 14:30
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 16:23
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 17:05
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.58%E -3.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.49%E -4.42%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-27 14:05
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-27 18:53
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-27 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -5.75%E -2.22%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.58%E -3.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 18:00
Betsson🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.48%E -2.52%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 16:25
NordicBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.48%E -2.52%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 16:24
Caesars🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -6.48%E -2.52%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -5.22%E -3.50%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 19:05
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.67%E -1.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.67%E -1.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 16:24
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 18:35
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.95%E -2.61%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 18:35
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.58%E -3.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-27 18:35
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.58%E -3.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-27 19:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.58%E -3.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-27 19:05
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.58%E -3.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-27 19:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.22%E -3.50%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-27 18:35
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.67%E -1.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 18:50
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.58%E -3.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-27 19:05
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.22%E -3.50%K -10.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-27 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-27 19:05
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-27 19:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.49%E -4.42%K -13.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-27 19:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -9.04%E -6.32%K -21.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-27 19:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -12.67%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-27 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%0.3%2026-09-27 18:55
BetOpenly◎2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%0.3%2026-09-27 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-09-27 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-09-27 19:00
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-09-27 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-09-27 19:05
Smarkets◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%1.7%2026-09-27 18:55
Polymarket◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.0%2026-09-27 19:05
Novig◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-09-27 19:05
Matchbook◎2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%4.4%2026-09-27 19:05