Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics v Houston Astros

2026-09-27 19:06 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 38.07%2.63fair odd
EV -0.248%
Edge -0.095%
Kelly -0.153%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%38.10%38.12%39.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.472.502.6243.48%40.42%40.00%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Astros (Visit)

Prediction 61.93%1.61fair odd
EV +0.322%
Edge +0.199%
Kelly +0.519%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.05%61.90%61.88%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.551.551.6267.11%64.47%64.52%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Athletics (Local): 38.07%; Houston Astros (Visit): 61.93%. For Houston Astros (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.61. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.62, producing a positive expected value of +0.322%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV +0.322%E +0.199%K +0.519%G +0.002%2.5%2026-09-27 06:55
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.53%E -0.989%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.54%E -0.966%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-27 12:20
FanDuel🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -7.10%E -2.91%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -2.16%E -1.36%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 06:45
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.16%E -1.36%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 12:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.16%E -1.36%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 12:20
Everygame🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -2.15%E -0.837%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.77%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-27 11:55
SportsBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -7.86%E -3.25%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -2.77%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 07:10
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.77%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 12:10
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.77%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 12:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.77%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 12:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.77%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 12:20
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.77%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.77%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 12:20
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.77%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 12:20
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.77%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 12:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.77%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 12:19
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.77%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.77%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 12:20
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.77%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 12:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.248%E -0.095%K -0.153%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.39%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-27 12:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.248%E -0.095%K -0.153%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.39%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-27 12:40
GTbets🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.01%E -0.388%K -0.631%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.39%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-27 12:40
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -1.39%E -0.537%K -0.875%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -3.39%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-27 12:20
BetAnything🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.77%E -0.687%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.39%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-27 12:40
BetUS🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.77%E -0.687%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.39%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-27 12:45
MyBookie.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -3.39%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-27 12:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.39%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 12:00
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.39%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 12:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.39%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 12:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.39%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-27 12:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.39%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-27 12:20
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 12:35
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 12:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 12:10
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 12:10
Coolbet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.96%E -2.41%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 12:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 12:20
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 12:19
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 11:35
Caesars🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 12:44
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 12:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 12:35
ReBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 12:34
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 12:34
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 12:10
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 12:45
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 12:34
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 12:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 11:55
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 12:50
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.29%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 13:00
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 12:20
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 12:20
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 12:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 12:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 12:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 12:35
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.58%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 12:34
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 12:19
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 12:19
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.43%E -5.41%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-27 12:20
Bovada🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -1.77%E -0.687%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-27 12:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-27 11:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -7.73%E -5.19%K -15.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-27 12:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-09-27 13:00
Novig◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%0.7%2026-09-27 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-09-27 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-09-27 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-09-27 13:00
ProphetX◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-09-27 12:40
Polymarket◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-09-27 12:15
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-09-27 13:00
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%7.5%2026-09-27 13:00
Arbitrage (2 combinations) +0.10%LowVig.ag 2.62 (38.2%) / Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 1.62 (61.8%)Show all 2 combinations
Athletics (Local)Houston Astros (Visit)Margin
LowVig.ag🎯 2.62 (38.2%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 1.62 (61.8%)+0.104%
BetOnline.ag🎯 2.62 (38.2%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 1.62 (61.8%)+0.104%