默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Athletics v Houston Astros

2026-09-27 19:06 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

66 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

38%

62%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Athletics (主队)

预测 37.84%2.64公平赔率

EV +0.266%

优势 +0.100%

Kelly +0.161%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.65

博彩公司预测分布

36.74%37.84%37.97%39.80%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.352.512.502.6542.55%39.91%40.00%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

Houston Astros (客队)

预测 62.16%1.61公平赔率

EV +0.705%

优势 +0.435%

Kelly +1.14%

增长率 +0.008%

假设最高赔率为 1.62

博彩公司预测分布

60.20%62.16%62.03%63.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.481.541.541.6267.57%64.90%64.94%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Athletics (主队)：37.84%；Houston Astros (客队)：62.16%。对于“Houston Astros (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.61。有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为1.62，由此产生+0.705%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -7.30%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV +0.705%E +0.435%K +1.14%G +0.008%	2.5%	2026-09-27 06:55
1xBet🎯	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -2.38%E -0.923%K -1.51%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.78%E -1.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-09-27 13:05
FanDuel🎯	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -7.68%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -1.78%E -1.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-27 06:45
SportsBet🎯	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -8.44%E -3.49%K -5.94%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -2.40%E -1.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-27 07:10
Paddy Power🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.57%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.40%E -1.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-27 12:10
Everygame🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.63%E -0.625%K -1.02%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.02%E -1.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-09-27 13:14
Betway🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.41%E -2.16%K -3.61%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.02%E -1.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-27 12:20
BetRivers🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.41%E -2.16%K -3.61%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.02%E -1.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-27 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.41%E -2.16%K -3.61%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.02%E -1.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-27 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.41%E -2.16%K -3.61%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.02%E -1.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-27 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.41%E -2.16%K -3.61%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.02%E -1.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-27 13:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.41%E -2.16%K -3.61%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.02%E -1.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-27 12:59
LowVig.ag🎯	2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -0.112%E -0.042%K -0.068%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -3.65%E -2.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-09-27 13:10
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -0.112%E -0.042%K -0.068%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -3.65%E -2.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-09-27 13:09
GTbets🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -0.869%E -0.332%K -0.536%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -3.65%E -2.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%	2.7%	2026-09-27 13:10
BetAnything🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.63%E -0.625%K -1.02%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.65%E -2.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-09-27 13:09
BetUS🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.63%E -0.625%K -1.02%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.65%E -2.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-09-27 13:05
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -3.90%E -1.53%K -2.53%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -3.65%E -2.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-27 13:19
TAB🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.41%E -2.16%K -3.61%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.65%E -2.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-27 12:35
PlayUp🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.41%E -2.16%K -3.61%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.65%E -2.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-27 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.17%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.65%E -2.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-27 13:30
Unibet🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.17%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.65%E -2.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-27 13:30
Casumo🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.17%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.65%E -2.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-27 13:30
Bally Bet🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.17%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.65%E -2.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-27 13:29
ATG (SE)🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.17%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.65%E -2.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-27 13:30
betPARX🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.17%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.65%E -2.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-27 13:30
Coolbet🎯	2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -6.54%E -2.65%K -4.45%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -3.65%E -2.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-27 12:34
Betr (AU)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.30%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.65%E -2.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-27 12:20
LeoVegas🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.30%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.65%E -2.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-27 13:10
Neds🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.30%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.65%E -2.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-27 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.30%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.65%E -2.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-27 13:10
Pinnacle🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV +0.266%E +0.100%K +0.161%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -4.27%E -2.77%K -7.90%G +0.000%	2.7%	2026-09-27 13:25
Caesars🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.52%E -1.38%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.27%E -2.77%K -7.90%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-27 12:44
ReBet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.52%E -1.38%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.27%E -2.77%K -7.90%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-27 13:14
theScore Bet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.52%E -1.38%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.27%E -2.77%K -7.90%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-27 12:35
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.41%E -2.16%K -3.61%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.27%E -2.77%K -7.90%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-27 12:35
Bet Right🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.41%E -2.16%K -3.61%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.27%E -2.77%K -7.90%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-27 12:34
Betsson🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.17%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.27%E -2.77%K -7.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-27 12:34
NordicBet🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.17%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.27%E -2.77%K -7.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-27 12:35
TABtouch🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.17%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.27%E -2.77%K -7.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-27 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.63%E -0.625%K -1.02%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.89%E -3.20%K -9.23%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-27 13:10
Fanatics🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.52%E -1.38%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.89%E -3.20%K -9.23%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-27 12:50
DraftKings🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.52%E -1.38%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.89%E -3.20%K -9.23%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-27 13:20
Fliff🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.52%E -1.38%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.89%E -3.20%K -9.23%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-27 13:20
BetMGM🎯	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.90%E -1.53%K -2.53%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.89%E -3.20%K -9.23%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-27 13:09
William Hill🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.41%E -2.16%K -3.61%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.89%E -3.20%K -9.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-27 12:20
BoyleSports🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.41%E -2.16%K -3.61%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.89%E -3.20%K -9.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-27 12:20
888sport🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.41%E -2.16%K -3.61%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.89%E -3.20%K -9.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-27 12:35
Marathon Bet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.41%E -2.16%K -3.61%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.89%E -3.20%K -9.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-27 12:59
888sport (SE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.41%E -2.16%K -3.61%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.89%E -3.20%K -9.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-27 12:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.41%E -2.16%K -3.61%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.89%E -3.20%K -9.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-27 12:35
betfred_uk🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.41%E -2.16%K -3.61%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.89%E -3.20%K -9.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-27 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.41%E -2.16%K -3.61%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.89%E -3.20%K -9.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-27 13:09
Coral🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.41%E -2.16%K -3.61%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.89%E -3.20%K -9.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-27 13:09
Dabble (AU)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.30%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.89%E -3.20%K -9.23%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-27 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.30%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.89%E -3.20%K -9.23%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-27 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.30%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.89%E -3.20%K -9.23%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-27 13:29
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.41%E -2.16%K -3.61%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.51%E -3.63%K -10.60%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-27 13:10
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -6.17%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.51%E -3.63%K -10.60%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-27 13:13
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.30%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.51%E -3.63%K -10.60%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-27 12:35
Bovada🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.63%E -0.625%K -1.02%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.13%E -4.06%K -12.03%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-27 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.52%E -1.38%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.51%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-27 11:55
Bet Victor🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.41%E -2.16%K -3.61%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.51%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-27 13:08
betano_uk🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.41%E -2.16%K -3.61%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.51%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-27 13:09
Grosvenor🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.57%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.38%E -4.95%K -15.05%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-09-27 13:30
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -11.08%E -4.72%K -8.21%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.00%E -5.40%K -16.66%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-09-27 13:09

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
BetOpenly◎	2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%	0.0%	2026-09-27 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%	1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%	0.5%	2026-09-27 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%	1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%	0.5%	2026-09-27 13:20
Matchbook◎	2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%	1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%	0.5%	2026-09-27 13:20
ProphetX◎	2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%	1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%	0.6%	2026-09-27 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%	1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%	0.9%	2026-09-27 13:30
Polymarket◎	2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%	0.9%	2026-09-27 12:15
Novig◎	2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%	1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%	1.1%	2026-09-27 13:05
Kalshi◎	2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%	1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%	1.1%	2026-09-27 13:00
Smarkets◎	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%	5.8%	2026-09-27 13:15

套利（4 种组合） +0.54%Pinnacle 2.65 (37.9%) / Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 1.62 (62.1%)显示全部 4 种组合

Athletics (主队)	Houston Astros (客队)	利润率
Pinnacle🎯 2.65 (37.9%)	Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 1.62 (62.1%)	+0.539%
LowVig.ag🎯 2.64 (38.0%)	Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 1.62 (62.0%)	+0.394%
BetOnline.ag🎯 2.64 (38.0%)	Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 1.62 (62.0%)	+0.394%
GTbets🎯 2.62 (38.2%)	Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 1.62 (61.8%)	+0.104%

Athletics v Houston Astros

胜负盘

Athletics (主队)

Houston Astros (客队)

博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)

博彩交易所 ? (10)

博彩交易所 (10)