Language:English
Athletics v Houston Astros
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Athletics (Local)
Prediction 45.73%2.19fair odd
EV +0.600%
Edge +0.273%
Kelly +0.500%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%45.92%45.74%48.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.102.102.2052.63%47.62%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Houston Astros (Visit)
Prediction 54.27%1.84fair odd
EV -0.681%
Edge -0.372%
Kelly -0.820%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.35%54.08%54.26%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.751.751.8359.88%57.09%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 45.73%; Houston Astros (Visit): 54.27%. For Athletics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.600%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.600%E +0.273%K +0.500%G +0.003% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.36%E -5.61%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 15:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV +0.143%E +0.065%K +0.120%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-05 18:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.315%E -0.144%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.94%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-05 19:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.772%E -0.356%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.772%E -0.356%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-05 18:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.23%E -0.569%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.85%E -1.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-05 19:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.69%E -0.784%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-05 17:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.69%E -0.784%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 19:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.69%E -0.784%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 18:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.69%E -0.784%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 17:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.69%E -0.784%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.69%E -0.784%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 18:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.69%E -0.784%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.19%E -4.21%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 18:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.48%E -2.55%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 19:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 19:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 19:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 19:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 19:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 19:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 19:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 19:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.19%E -4.21%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 19:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.19%E -4.21%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 19:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.19%E -4.21%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.19%E -4.21%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 19:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -3.52%E -1.67%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -0.681%E -0.372%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 19:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.94%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 17:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.94%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.94%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.48%E -2.55%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 19:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 20:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 20:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 18:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 19:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.74%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 17:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.89%E -2.35%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -2.85%E -1.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-05 18:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.89%E -2.35%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.34%E -2.58%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.48%E -2.55%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 20:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.34%E -2.58%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.48%E -2.55%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 20:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 19:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 19:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.94%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 19:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.94%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 19:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 19:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -6.72%E -3.29%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -0.681%E -0.372%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-05 20:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -8.09%E -4.02%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -4.48%E -2.55%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 20:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.55%E -4.27%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 20:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.55%E -4.27%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 20:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.55%E -4.27%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -9.46%E -4.78%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 20:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -13.12%E -6.90%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 20:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-04-05 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-04-05 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-04-05 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-04-05 19:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.89% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.11% | 0.4% | 2026-04-05 20:04 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 19:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16% | 1.5% | 2026-04-05 20:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08% | 2.7% | 2026-04-05 20:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 20:05 |