L’École des cotes

Athletics v Houston Astros

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 20:06 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Athletics (Local)

Prévision 45.73%2.19cote équitable
EV +0.600%
Avantage +0.273%
Kelly +0.500%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.15%45.92%45.74%48.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.102.102.2052.63%47.62%47.62%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Houston Astros (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.27%1.84cote équitable
EV -0.681%
Avantage -0.372%
Kelly -0.820%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.35%54.08%54.26%56.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.751.751.8359.88%57.09%57.14%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.600%E +0.273%K +0.500%G +0.003%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.36%E -5.61%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 15:54
GTbets2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV +0.143%E +0.065%K +0.120%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-05 18:59
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.315%E -0.144%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.94%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-05 19:09
LowVig.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.772%E -0.356%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-05 19:00
BetOnline.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.772%E -0.356%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-05 18:59
BetUS2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.23%E -0.569%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.85%E -1.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-05 19:59
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.69%E -0.784%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-05 17:35
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.69%E -0.784%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:55
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.69%E -0.784%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 18:59
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.69%E -0.784%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 17:44
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.69%E -0.784%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.69%E -0.784%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 18:59
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.69%E -0.784%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.19%E -4.21%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 18:09
MyBookie.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.48%E -2.55%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 19:40
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 19:40
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 19:40
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 19:40
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 19:40
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 19:39
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 19:39
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 19:40
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 19:39
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.19%E -4.21%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 19:39
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.19%E -4.21%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 19:39
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.19%E -4.21%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 19:40
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -3.06%E -1.44%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.19%E -4.21%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 19:39
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -3.52%E -1.67%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -0.681%E -0.372%K -0.820%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-05 19:10
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.94%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 17:30
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.94%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 17:30
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.94%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 17:50
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.48%E -2.55%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 19:59
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 20:04
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 20:04
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 18:09
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 17:30
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 17:30
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 17:30
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 19:09
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.74%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 17:30
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.89%E -2.35%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -2.85%E -1.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 18:05
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.89%E -2.35%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 17:30
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.34%E -2.58%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.48%E -2.55%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 20:04
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.34%E -2.58%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.48%E -2.55%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 20:04
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:24
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 19:24
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.94%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 19:49
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.94%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 19:59
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 19:55
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -6.72%E -3.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -0.681%E -0.372%K -0.820%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 20:05
DraftKings2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -8.09%E -4.02%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -4.48%E -2.55%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 20:05
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.55%E -4.27%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 20:05
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.55%E -4.27%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 20:05
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.55%E -4.27%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 18:05
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -9.46%E -4.78%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 20:04
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -13.12%E -6.90%K -14.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 20:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-04-05 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-04-05 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-04-05 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-04-05 19:50
ProphetX2.17I 46.08%NM 45.89%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.11%0.4%2026-04-05 20:04
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-04-05 17:59
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-04-05 19:10
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%1.5%2026-04-05 20:04
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%2.7%2026-04-05 20:05
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%3.2%2026-04-05 20:05