Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics v Boston Red Sox

2026-07-30 01:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 42.17%2.37fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.750%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.71%42.30%42.28%45.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.252.3347.62%44.67%44.44%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 57.83%1.73fair odd
EV -0.530%
Edge -0.308%
Kelly -0.736%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.97%57.70%57.72%58.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.661.651.7263.29%60.29%60.42%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.75%E -0.750%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.26%E -1.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 19:39
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -2.17%E -0.935%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -1.69%E -0.992%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-28 18:50
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.59%E -1.12%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.26%E -1.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-28 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.59%E -1.12%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.26%E -1.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-28 18:09
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-28 18:44
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 18:40
DraftKings2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.43%E -1.50%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.16%E -3.14%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 18:39
MyBookie.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.00%E -2.41%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 18:44
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 18:40
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 18:39
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 18:39
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 18:30
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 18:29
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.58%E -2.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 18:30
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.16%E -3.14%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:39
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.16%E -3.14%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:39
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.89%E -4.28%K -11.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-28 18:38
Bet Right2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.54%E -2.47%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.00%E -2.41%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 18:39
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.69%E -0.992%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 18:10
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.84%E -1.69%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 18:39
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 18:09
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 18:29
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.42%E -2.05%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 18:09
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -8.05%E -5.06%K -13.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-28 18:39
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -0.530%E -0.308%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 18:09
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -8.63%E -5.46%K -14.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-28 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-07-28 18:10
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-07-28 18:30
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 43.35%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.65%8.3%2026-07-28 18:40
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%9.7%2026-07-28 19:45