Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-07-30 01:41 UTC

Final: Athletics 2–4 Boston Red Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Previsão 42.38%2.36odd justa
EV -0.399%
Vantagem -0.170%
Kelly -0.295%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.66%42.38%42.39%43.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.252.252.3546.51%44.38%44.44%42.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 57.62%1.74odd justa
EV -2.05%
Vantagem -1.21%
Kelly -2.93%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.58%57.62%57.61%59.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.661.661.7062.50%60.40%60.24%58.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Athletics (Local): 42.38%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 57.62%. Para Athletics (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.36. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.35, com valor esperado de -0.399%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.399%E -0.170%K -0.295%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.24%E -4.50%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 01:25
GTbets🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.823%E -0.352%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.20%E -1.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 01:15
Everygame🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.25%E -0.535%K -0.937%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.63%E -1.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-29 15:00
BetAnything🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -1.25%E -0.535%K -0.937%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -3.78%E -2.26%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-30 00:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.67%E -0.720%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.20%E -1.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-30 01:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.67%E -0.720%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.20%E -1.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-30 01:15
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.09%E -0.907%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.05%E -1.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-30 01:14
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.09%E -0.907%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.05%E -1.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-30 01:40
BetUS🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.09%E -0.907%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.20%E -1.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-29 23:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.52%E -1.09%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.78%E -2.26%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-28 18:44
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.52%E -1.09%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.78%E -2.26%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-30 01:30
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.52%E -1.09%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.93%E -2.99%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 02:15
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.52%E -1.09%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.93%E -2.99%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 18:40
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.52%E -1.09%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.66%E -4.11%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 16:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.52%E -1.09%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 21:34
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.37%E -1.48%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.20%E -1.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-30 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.37%E -1.48%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.20%E -1.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-30 00:10
Bovada🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.37%E -1.48%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.93%E -2.99%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 01:24
Bet Right🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.37%E -1.48%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.51%E -3.36%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 16:05
SportsBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.79%E -1.67%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.51%E -3.36%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 13:45
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.79%E -1.67%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.51%E -3.36%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 16:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.20%E -1.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 01:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.20%E -1.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 01:40
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.20%E -1.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 01:09
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.78%E -2.26%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 01:35
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.78%E -2.26%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 01:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.78%E -2.26%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 01:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.78%E -2.26%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 00:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.78%E -2.26%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 00:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.78%E -2.26%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 21:55
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.36%E -2.62%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:55
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.36%E -2.62%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.36%E -2.62%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:55
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.36%E -2.62%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:54
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.36%E -2.62%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.36%E -2.62%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:55
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.93%E -2.99%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 18:39
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.93%E -2.99%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.93%E -2.99%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 18:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.93%E -2.99%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.93%E -2.99%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 22:45
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.93%E -2.99%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 22:45
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.93%E -2.99%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 22:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.51%E -3.36%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.51%E -3.36%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 01:39
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.66%E -4.11%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 16:05
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.64%E -2.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 23:15
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -5.06%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -3.78%E -2.26%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 01:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.48%E -2.46%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.93%E -2.99%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 00:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.48%E -2.46%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.93%E -2.99%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 01:10
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.48%E -2.46%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.93%E -2.99%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 00:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.91%E -2.66%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.36%E -2.62%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 01:39
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.91%E -2.66%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.36%E -2.62%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 01:15
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.91%E -2.66%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.36%E -2.62%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 01:10
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.78%E -2.26%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 22:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.78%E -2.26%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 22:45
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.78%E -2.26%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 01:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.36%E -2.62%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-30 01:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.51%E -3.36%K -8.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 01:39
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.76%E -3.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 01:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -8.03%E -3.70%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -7.24%E -4.50%K -11.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-30 01:37
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -8.45%E -3.91%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-30 01:10
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.88%E -4.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.93%E -2.99%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 01:30
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.88%E -4.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.93%E -2.99%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 01:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.88%E -4.13%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.51%E -3.36%K -8.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 01:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.39I 41.84%NM 42.13%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.87%-0.7%2026-07-30 01:39
Polymarket◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-07-29 20:50
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-07-30 01:30
ProphetX◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-07-30 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-07-30 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-07-30 01:40
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%1.2%2026-07-30 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%1.2%2026-07-30 01:40
Novig◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.0%2026-07-30 01:40
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%2.6%2026-07-30 01:40