The School of Odds

Arizona Diamondbacks v St. Louis Cardinals

2026-07-19 20:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prediction 52.15%1.92fair odd
EV -0.906%
Edge -0.477%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.13%52.22%53.66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.741.831.831.9057%55%55%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 47.85%2.09fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -0.935%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%47.87%47.78%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.881.992.002.0553%50%50%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.906%E -0.477%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.09%E -4.79%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 17:50
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.92%E -0.935%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-18 21:15
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.47%E -1.32%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.92%E -0.935%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 17:55
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.47%E -1.32%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.92%E -0.935%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 21:00
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.47%E -1.32%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 17:50
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.47%E -1.32%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 17:50
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.99%E -1.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.92%E -0.935%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 21:25
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -2.99%E -1.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 20:45
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 17:55
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.22%E -3.18%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:45
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.04%E -2.19%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 18:00
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 17:55
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 18:20
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 18:19
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 19:25
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 20:15
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 21:20
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 17:55
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 18:00
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.56%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 18:00
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.79%E -2.41%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 21:15
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.27%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 18:00
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.08%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.22%E -3.18%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 17:53
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 18:20
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 18:20
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 17:54
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 17:55
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 20:15
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.69%E -4.34%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.92%E -0.935%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 17:55
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -7.69%E -4.34%K -9.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -8.62%E -4.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 20:15
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -9.25%E -5.32%K -12.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -10.05%E -5.35%K -11.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%0.1%2026-07-18 17:55
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%2.6%2026-07-18 21:25
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%2.8%2026-07-18 21:25
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%7.9%2026-07-18 21:30