Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks v St. Louis Cardinals

Inicio: 2026-07-19 20:11 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 8–7 St. Louis Cardinals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Predicción 53.21%1.88momio equitativo
EV -1.56%
Ventaja -0.844%
Kelly -1.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%53.12%53.25%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.801.801.8558.82%55.69%55.56%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Predicción 46.79%2.14momio equitativo
EV -0.806%
Ventaja -0.380%
Kelly -0.719%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.95%46.88%46.75%48.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.042.052.1251.28%49.01%48.78%47.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 53.21%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 46.79%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.14. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.12, con un valor esperado de -0.806%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.56%E -0.844%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.21%E -1.06%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-19 19:58
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -1.56%E -0.844%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-19 20:00
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -2.09%E -1.14%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -1.74%E -0.829%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-19 20:05
GTbets🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.09%E -1.14%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -2.21%E -1.06%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-19 19:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.09%E -1.14%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.68%E -1.29%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.09%E -1.14%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.68%E -1.29%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 19:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -2.09%E -1.14%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 20:10
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.63%E -1.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.74%E -0.829%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-19 19:55
Everygame🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.16%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.806%E -0.380%K -0.719%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 19:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.16%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.36%E -3.72%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-19 20:10
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -3.69%E -2.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -2.68%E -1.29%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-19 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -3.69%E -2.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -2.68%E -1.29%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-19 18:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.69%E -2.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-19 19:34
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.69%E -2.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.55%E -2.23%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 20:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -4.22%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.15%E -1.52%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -4.22%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.15%E -1.52%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 18:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.22%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 13:19
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.22%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 11:38
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.22%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.22%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 13:40
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.22%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.22%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 08:40
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.22%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 18:35
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.22%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 08:40
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.22%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 15:40
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.22%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 07:55
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.22%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.55%E -2.23%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 18:10
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.22%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.48%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:30
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.22%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.48%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.22%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.48%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 08:39
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.22%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.48%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 18:10
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 18:10
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 20:09
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 23:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.22%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.29%E -4.23%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 20:10
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.22%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 19:55
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.22%E -2.35%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 19:55
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.75%E -2.66%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.68%E -1.29%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 14:05
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.75%E -2.66%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.61%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.75%E -2.66%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.61%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 18:00
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.75%E -2.66%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.61%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 18:00
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.75%E -2.66%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.61%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 18:00
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.75%E -2.66%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.61%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.75%E -2.66%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.61%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 18:00
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.75%E -2.66%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.55%E -2.23%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 17:55
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.66%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.48%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 18:10
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.66%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.48%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 18:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.29%E -2.97%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.29%E -2.97%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.55%E -2.23%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 20:09
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.29%E -2.97%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.55%E -2.23%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.29%E -2.97%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.55%E -2.23%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 18:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.29%E -2.97%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.55%E -2.23%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 18:00
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.82%E -3.29%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.61%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 14:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.82%E -3.29%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 20:00
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 13:40
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.48%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 18:00
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.41%E -4.26%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.36%E -3.72%K -7.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 19:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.54%E -5.61%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 20:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-19 20:10
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-19 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-19 20:10
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-19 15:55
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-19 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-07-19 20:10
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.5%2026-07-19 20:10
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.6%2026-07-19 20:10
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-07-19 20:10
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%4.6%2026-07-19 20:10