Language:English
Arizona Diamondbacks v Pittsburgh Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)
Prediction 45.97%2.18fair odd
EV -0.253%
Edge -0.117%
Kelly -0.216%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.64%45.94%45.78%46.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.102.102.1749.50%47.72%47.62%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 54.03%1.85fair odd
EV -0.038%
Edge -0.020%
Kelly -0.045%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.02%54.06%54.22%55.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.761.751.8558.82%56.81%57.14%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 45.97%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 54.03%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.851. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.850, with an expected value of -0.038%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -0.253%E -0.117%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -5.44%E -3.11%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.63%E -0.763%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.63%E -0.763%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.63%E -0.763%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.63%E -0.763%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.63%E -0.763%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.63%E -0.763%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.63%E -0.763%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.63%E -0.763%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.63%E -0.763%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.63%E -0.763%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.55%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.90%E -2.78%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 23:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.55%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.06%E -4.11%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.55%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.06%E -4.11%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.55%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.06%E -4.11%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.55%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.06%E -4.11%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -3.01%E -1.43%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.12%E -0.611%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-06 21:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -0.578%E -0.314%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-07 00:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.12%E -0.611%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-07 01:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.82%E -2.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 23:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.36%E -2.46%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.36%E -2.46%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.36%E -2.46%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 14:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.36%E -2.46%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 15:03 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.36%E -2.46%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.36%E -2.46%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.36%E -2.46%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 18:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.44%E -3.11%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.44%E -3.11%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.44%E -3.11%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.44%E -3.11%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 23:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 23:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 00:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.60%E -4.45%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.14%E -4.79%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 23:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -3.93%E -1.88%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.038%E -0.020%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-07 01:27 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -3.93%E -1.88%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -0.578%E -0.314%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-07 01:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.93%E -1.88%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.12%E -0.611%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-07 01:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.93%E -1.88%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.12%E -0.611%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-07 01:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.93%E -1.88%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.90%E -2.78%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 23:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.39%E -2.11%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.90%E -2.78%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 23:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.39%E -2.11%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.90%E -2.78%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 23:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.39%E -2.11%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 23:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.85%E -2.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.90%E -2.78%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 00:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.31%E -2.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.28%E -1.83%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-07 01:32 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-07 00:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-07 01:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-07 01:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.82%E -2.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 00:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.36%E -2.46%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 16:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.90%E -2.78%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 17:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 01:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 23:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 23:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 23:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.69%E -3.29%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.82%E -2.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 01:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.15%E -3.54%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.28%E -1.83%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 01:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-07 01:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.62% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.38% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 01:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 01:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-05-07 01:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-05-06 15:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 1.8% | 2026-05-07 01:30 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 01:35 |