La escuela de los momios

Arizona Diamondbacks v Pittsburgh Pirates

Inicio: 2026-05-07 01:41 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 0–1 Pittsburgh Pirates

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Predicción 45.97%2.18momio equitativo
EV -0.253%
Ventaja -0.117%
Kelly -0.216%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.64%45.94%45.78%46.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.022.102.102.1749.50%47.72%47.62%46.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Predicción 54.03%1.85momio equitativo
EV -0.038%
Ventaja -0.020%
Kelly -0.045%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.02%54.06%54.22%55.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.761.751.8558.82%56.81%57.14%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -0.253%E -0.117%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -5.44%E -3.11%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 00:20
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.63%E -0.763%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 00:20
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.63%E -0.763%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 00:20
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.63%E -0.763%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.63%E -0.763%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 00:20
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.63%E -0.763%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 00:20
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.63%E -0.763%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 00:20
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.63%E -0.763%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 00:20
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.63%E -0.763%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 00:20
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.63%E -0.763%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 00:20
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.63%E -0.763%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 00:20
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.55%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.90%E -2.78%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 23:45
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.55%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.06%E -4.11%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 00:20
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.55%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.06%E -4.11%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 00:20
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.55%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.06%E -4.11%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 00:20
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.55%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.06%E -4.11%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 00:20
Everygame2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -3.01%E -1.43%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.12%E -0.611%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-06 21:10
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -0.578%E -0.314%K -0.688%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-07 00:45
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.12%E -0.611%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-07 01:10
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.82%E -2.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 23:40
MyBookie.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.36%E -2.46%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 23:10
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.36%E -2.46%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 14:50
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.36%E -2.46%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 14:05
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.36%E -2.46%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 15:03
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.36%E -2.46%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 23:05
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.36%E -2.46%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 23:05
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.36%E -2.46%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 18:29
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.44%E -3.11%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.44%E -3.11%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.44%E -3.11%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 18:30
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.44%E -3.11%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 18:30
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 23:55
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 23:50
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 23:50
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 00:10
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.60%E -4.45%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 23:15
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.14%E -4.79%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 23:10
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -3.93%E -1.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.038%E -0.020%K -0.045%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-07 01:27
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -3.93%E -1.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -0.578%E -0.314%K -0.688%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-07 01:35
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.93%E -1.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.12%E -0.611%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-07 01:10
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.93%E -1.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.12%E -0.611%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-07 01:10
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.93%E -1.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.90%E -2.78%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 23:04
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.39%E -2.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.90%E -2.78%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 23:55
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.39%E -2.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.90%E -2.78%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 23:55
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.39%E -2.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 23:45
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.85%E -2.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.90%E -2.78%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 00:35
Bovada2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.31%E -2.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.28%E -1.83%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 01:32
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 00:39
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 01:25
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 01:35
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.82%E -2.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 00:15
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.36%E -2.46%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 16:10
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.90%E -2.78%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 17:05
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 01:25
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 23:01
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 23:04
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 23:45
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.69%E -3.29%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.82%E -2.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 01:35
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.15%E -3.54%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.28%E -1.83%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 01:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-05-07 01:35
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.62%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.38%0.7%2026-05-07 01:35
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-07 01:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-07 01:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-07 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-07 01:30
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-07 01:10
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-06 15:40
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-05-07 01:30
BetOpenly2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%3.1%2026-05-07 01:35