Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Philadelphia Phillies

Kickoff: 2026-09-01 01:41 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 1–2 Philadelphia Phillies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prediction 49.81%2.01fair odd
EV -0.388%
Edge -0.194%
Kelly -0.388%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.48%49.74%49.87%51.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.941.952.0054.05%51.56%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)

Prediction 50.19%1.99fair odd
EV +0.890%
Edge +0.443%
Kelly +0.881%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.59%50.26%50.13%52.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.881.902.0157.14%53.08%52.63%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 49.81%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 50.19%. For Philadelphia Phillies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.890%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV +0.890%E +0.443%K +0.881%G +0.008%2.4%2026-09-01 01:39
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.38%E -1.21%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.62%E -0.826%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-01 01:19
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.38%E -1.21%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.62%E -0.826%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-01 01:05
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.88%E -0.956%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.12%E -1.09%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-01 01:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.12%E -1.09%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-01 01:25
DraftKings🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%EV -0.886%E -0.445%K -0.895%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%EV -2.62%E -1.35%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-01 01:35
BetUS🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.38%E -1.21%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.62%E -1.35%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-01 00:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -2.62%E -1.35%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 01:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.88%E -0.956%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.13%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-01 01:35
theScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -2.38%E -1.21%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -3.13%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-01 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.13%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 01:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.886%E -0.445%K -0.895%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.63%E -1.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-01 01:39
GTbets🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.886%E -0.445%K -0.895%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.63%E -1.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-01 01:38
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 00:10
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 01:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 01:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 01:15
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 00:10
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 00:10
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 01:15
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.86%E -3.67%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 01:40
BetAnything🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -0.886%E -0.445%K -0.895%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-01 01:30
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 01:40
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 01:15
Bovada🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 01:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 00:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 01:04
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 00:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 01:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -6.36%E -3.39%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 01:40
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.86%E -4.25%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 01:35
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.86%E -4.25%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 01:30
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.13%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.13%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 01:19
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -5.13%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 01:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 01:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -7.36%E -3.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 01:40
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.14%E -3.28%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 01:35
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.14%E -3.28%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 23:25
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.14%E -3.28%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 01:38
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -0.388%E -0.194%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -0.388%E -0.194%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 23:30
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 01:19
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 01:38
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.36%E -3.39%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 01:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.36%E -3.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.64%E -4.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 01:20
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.388%E -0.194%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.14%E -4.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 01:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.388%E -0.194%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.14%E -4.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 23:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.388%E -0.194%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.14%E -4.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 23:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -3.87%E -2.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -8.14%E -4.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -0.388%E -0.194%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 23:25
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -0.388%E -0.194%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 23:30
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -0.388%E -0.194%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 23:30
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -0.388%E -0.194%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 23:30
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -0.388%E -0.194%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 23:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -0.388%E -0.194%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 23:25
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -0.388%E -0.194%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -9.15%E -5.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -1.38%E -0.699%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -10.15%E -5.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 23:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -1.38%E -0.699%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -10.15%E -5.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 23:25
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -3.87%E -2.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -12.16%E -6.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 23:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-09-01 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-09-01 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-09-01 01:35
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-09-01 01:05
ProphetX2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-09-01 01:40
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-01 01:20
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-01 00:20
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%1.8%2026-09-01 01:40
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%2.6%2026-09-01 01:35
BetOpenly2.01I 49.75%NM 48.46%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.54%2.7%2026-09-01 01:39