Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Philadelphia Phillies

Início: 2026-09-01 01:41 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 1–2 Philadelphia Phillies

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Previsão 49.81%2.01odd justa
EV -0.388%
Vantagem -0.194%
Kelly -0.388%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.48%49.74%49.87%51.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.941.952.0054.05%51.56%51.28%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Previsão 50.19%1.99odd justa
EV +0.890%
Vantagem +0.443%
Kelly +0.881%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.59%50.26%50.13%52.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.881.902.0157.14%53.08%52.63%49.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 49.81%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante): 50.19%. Para Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.99. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.01, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.890%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV +0.890%E +0.443%K +0.881%G +0.008%2.4%2026-09-01 01:39
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.38%E -1.21%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.62%E -0.826%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-01 01:19
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.38%E -1.21%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.62%E -0.826%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-01 01:05
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.88%E -0.956%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.12%E -1.09%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-01 01:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.12%E -1.09%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-01 01:25
DraftKings🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%EV -0.886%E -0.445%K -0.895%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%EV -2.62%E -1.35%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-01 01:35
BetUS🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.38%E -1.21%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.62%E -1.35%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-01 00:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -2.62%E -1.35%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 01:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.88%E -0.956%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.13%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-01 01:35
theScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -2.38%E -1.21%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -3.13%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-01 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.13%E -1.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 01:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.886%E -0.445%K -0.895%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.63%E -1.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-01 01:39
GTbets🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.886%E -0.445%K -0.895%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.63%E -1.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-01 01:38
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 00:10
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 01:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 01:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 01:15
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 00:10
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 00:10
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 01:15
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.86%E -3.67%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.13%E -2.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 01:40
BetAnything🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -0.886%E -0.445%K -0.895%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-01 01:30
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 01:40
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 01:15
Bovada🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 01:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 00:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 01:04
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 00:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 01:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -6.36%E -3.39%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 01:40
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.86%E -4.25%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 01:35
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.86%E -4.25%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.63%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 01:30
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.37%E -2.28%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.13%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.87%E -2.55%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.13%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 01:19
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -5.13%E -2.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 01:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.37%E -2.83%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 01:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -7.36%E -3.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 01:40
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.14%E -3.28%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 01:35
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.14%E -3.28%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 23:25
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.14%E -3.28%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 01:38
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -0.388%E -0.194%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -0.388%E -0.194%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 23:30
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 01:19
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.88%E -1.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 01:38
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.36%E -3.39%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.14%E -3.86%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 01:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.36%E -3.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.64%E -4.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 01:20
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.388%E -0.194%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.14%E -4.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 01:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.388%E -0.194%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.14%E -4.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 23:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.388%E -0.194%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.14%E -4.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 23:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -3.87%E -2.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -8.14%E -4.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -0.388%E -0.194%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 23:25
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -0.388%E -0.194%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 23:30
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -0.388%E -0.194%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 23:30
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -0.388%E -0.194%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 23:30
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -0.388%E -0.194%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 23:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -0.388%E -0.194%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 23:25
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -0.388%E -0.194%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -9.15%E -5.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -1.38%E -0.699%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -10.15%E -5.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 23:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -1.38%E -0.699%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -10.15%E -5.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 23:25
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -3.87%E -2.01%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -12.16%E -6.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 23:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-09-01 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-09-01 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-09-01 01:35
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-09-01 01:05
ProphetX◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-09-01 01:40
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-01 01:20
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-01 00:20
Matchbook◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%1.8%2026-09-01 01:40
Smarkets◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%2.6%2026-09-01 01:35
BetOpenly◎2.01I 49.75%NM 48.46%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.54%2.7%2026-09-01 01:39