Language:English
Arizona Diamondbacks v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)
Prediction 49.90%2.00fair odd
EV -0.708%
Edge -0.356%
Kelly -0.715%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.41%49.83%50.00%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.901.911.9954.05%52.53%52.36%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 50.10%2.00fair odd
EV +0.209%
Edge +0.104%
Kelly +0.209%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.45%50.17%50.00%51.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.921.912.0054.64%52.11%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 49.90%; New York Mets (Visit): 50.10%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.996. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.000, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.209%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -6.20%E -3.30%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV +0.209%E +0.104%K +0.209%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-09 22:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -1.29%E -0.657%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 22:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -1.29%E -0.657%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 22:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.80%E -0.916%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 22:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.80%E -0.916%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 22:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.80%E -0.916%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 22:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.80%E -0.916%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 22:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.80%E -0.916%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 22:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.80%E -0.916%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 22:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.80%E -0.916%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 22:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.80%E -0.916%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 22:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.80%E -0.916%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 22:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.80%E -0.916%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 22:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.71%E -0.866%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.30%E -1.18%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-09 22:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.70%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.30%E -1.18%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-09 20:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.30%E -1.18%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 22:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.30%E -1.18%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 22:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.20%E -1.12%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.80%E -1.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-09 22:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.20%E -1.12%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.80%E -1.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-09 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.20%E -1.12%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.80%E -1.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-09 22:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.20%E -1.12%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.80%E -1.44%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-09 22:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -0.708%E -0.356%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -3.30%E -1.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.30%E -1.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-09 19:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.80%E -1.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.80%E -1.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 19:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 20:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 22:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 23:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 20:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 20:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 20:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 22:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 19:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 17:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 20:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 19:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 19:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 19:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 21:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.30%E -2.81%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.30%E -2.81%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.30%E -2.81%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 19:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.30%E -2.81%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 22:58 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 23:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.70%E -3.01%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.30%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 22:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.70%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 23:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 20:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.31%E -3.95%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 19:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.70%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.31%E -4.54%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 19:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 23:14 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 23:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 23:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 23:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 23:14 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 19:49 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 19:54 |
| Novig◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39% | 2.8% | 2026-05-09 23:15 |