L’École des cotes

Arizona Diamondbacks v New York Mets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 23:16 UTC

Score final : Arizona Diamondbacks 2–1 New York Mets

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prévision 49.90%2.00cote équitable
EV -0.708%
Avantage -0.356%
Kelly -0.715%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.41%49.83%50.00%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.851.901.911.9954.05%52.53%52.36%50.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Mets (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.10%2.00cote équitable
EV +0.209%
Avantage +0.104%
Kelly +0.209%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.45%50.17%50.00%51.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.921.912.0054.64%52.11%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -6.20%E -3.30%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV +0.209%E +0.104%K +0.209%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 22:19
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -1.29%E -0.657%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 22:19
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -1.29%E -0.657%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 22:19
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.80%E -0.916%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:19
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.80%E -0.916%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:19
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.80%E -0.916%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:19
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.80%E -0.916%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.80%E -0.916%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:19
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.80%E -0.916%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:20
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.80%E -0.916%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:19
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.80%E -0.916%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:19
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.80%E -0.916%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:19
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.80%E -0.916%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:19
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.71%E -0.866%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.30%E -1.18%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-09 22:59
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.70%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.30%E -1.18%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-09 20:44
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.30%E -1.18%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 22:19
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.30%E -1.18%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 22:19
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.20%E -1.12%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.80%E -1.44%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-09 22:54
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.20%E -1.12%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.80%E -1.44%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-09 22:55
GTbets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.20%E -1.12%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.80%E -1.44%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-09 22:54
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.20%E -1.12%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.80%E -1.44%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-09 22:54
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -0.708%E -0.356%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -3.30%E -1.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-09 23:09
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.30%E -1.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-09 19:39
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.80%E -1.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.80%E -1.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 19:44
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 20:44
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 22:54
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 23:00
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 19:00
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 19:00
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 18:59
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:44
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:44
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 18:54
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 22:09
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 19:34
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 17:49
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 20:59
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 19:54
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 19:39
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 19:34
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:44
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:59
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 21:00
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.30%E -2.81%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 22:59
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.30%E -2.81%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:54
Betr (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.30%E -2.81%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 19:54
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.30%E -2.81%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 22:58
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 23:15
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 22:59
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.70%E -3.01%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 23:04
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.30%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 22:59
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.70%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 19:00
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 23:14
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 20:49
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.31%E -3.95%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 19:09
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.70%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.31%E -4.54%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 19:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-05-09 23:09
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-05-09 23:14
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-05-09 23:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-05-09 23:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-05-09 23:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-05-09 23:14
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-09 19:49
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-09 19:54
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%1.3%2026-05-09 23:15
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%2.8%2026-05-09 23:15