Language:English
Arizona Diamondbacks v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)
Prediction 51.07%1.96fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.08%51.05%52.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.871.871.9155.56%53.48%53.48%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 48.93%2.04fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.577%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.75%48.92%48.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.951.952.0252.63%51.30%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 51.07%; New York Mets (Visit): 48.93%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.02, with an expected value of -1.17%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -2.45%E -1.28%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -1.17%E -0.577%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-10 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.45%E -1.28%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.66%E -0.824%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-10 19:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.45%E -1.28%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 20:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.45%E -1.28%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 20:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.45%E -1.28%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 19:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.45%E -1.28%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 20:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.45%E -1.28%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 20:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.45%E -1.28%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 04:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.96%E -1.56%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.04%E -3.70%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 04:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.47%E -1.84%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.61%E -1.83%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-10 19:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.98%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.61%E -1.83%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 19:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.98%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-10 19:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.98%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-10 19:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.98%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 20:03 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.98%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.06%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 20:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 19:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 13:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 12:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 20:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 19:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 04:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 12:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 07:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 19:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 19:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 19:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 19:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 19:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 19:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 19:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 19:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 19:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 19:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.57%E -2.89%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 20:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 20:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.01%E -2.69%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 18:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.01%E -2.69%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.01%E -2.69%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.01%E -2.69%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 19:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.10%E -2.09%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 18:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.57%E -2.89%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.57%E -2.89%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 19:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.57%E -2.89%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 19:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 12:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.03%E -3.28%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.06%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 12:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 17:43 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.07%E -4.48%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.61%E -1.83%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 12:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 0.0% | 2026-05-10 20:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50% | 0.1% | 2026-05-10 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50% | 0.1% | 2026-05-10 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50% | 0.1% | 2026-05-10 20:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 0.3% | 2026-05-10 20:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 20:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 14:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 19:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72% | 2.6% | 2026-05-10 20:09 |