Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks v New York Mets

Início: 2026-05-10 20:11 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 5–1 New York Mets

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Previsão 51.07%1.96odd justa
EV -2.45%
Vantagem -1.28%
Kelly -2.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.08%51.05%52.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.871.871.9155.56%53.48%53.48%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Mets (Visitante)

Previsão 48.93%2.04odd justa
EV -1.17%
Vantagem -0.577%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.75%48.92%48.95%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.901.951.952.0252.63%51.30%51.28%49.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 51.07%; New York Mets (Visitante): 48.93%. Para New York Mets (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.04. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.02, com valor esperado de -1.17%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -2.45%E -1.28%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -1.17%E -0.577%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-10 18:50
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.45%E -1.28%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.66%E -0.824%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-10 19:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.45%E -1.28%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-10 20:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.45%E -1.28%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-10 20:04
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.45%E -1.28%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-10 19:59
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.45%E -1.28%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-10 20:04
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.45%E -1.28%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-10 20:04
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.45%E -1.28%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 04:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.96%E -1.56%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.04%E -3.70%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 04:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.47%E -1.84%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.61%E -1.83%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 19:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.98%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.61%E -1.83%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 19:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.98%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-10 19:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.98%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-10 19:34
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.98%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 20:03
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.98%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.06%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 20:04
TAB🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 19:39
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 13:14
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 12:39
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 17:49
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 20:04
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 12:54
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 19:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 04:54
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 12:39
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 07:00
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 17:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 19:39
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 19:34
LeoVegas🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 19:34
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 19:34
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 19:39
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 19:34
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 19:34
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 19:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 19:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.57%E -2.89%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 20:04
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 18:40
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.49%E -2.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 20:09
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.01%E -2.69%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 18:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.01%E -2.69%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 19:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.01%E -2.69%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 19:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.01%E -2.69%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 19:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 19:59
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.10%E -2.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 18:39
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 19:39
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 19:39
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 19:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 19:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.57%E -2.89%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 20:00
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.57%E -2.89%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 19:35
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.57%E -2.89%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 19:49
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 12:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 12:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 12:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.03%E -3.28%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.06%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 12:39
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 17:43
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.07%E -4.48%K -10.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.61%E -1.83%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 12:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-05-10 20:04
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%0.1%2026-05-10 20:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%0.1%2026-05-10 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%0.1%2026-05-10 20:09
ProphetX1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-05-10 20:09
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-10 20:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-10 20:09
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-05-10 14:30
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-05-10 19:49
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%2.6%2026-05-10 20:09