Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Milwaukee Brewers

Kickoff: 2026-07-05 20:10 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 2–3 Milwaukee Brewers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prediction 47.69%2.10fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.619%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.79%47.78%49.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.002.002.0752.63%50.12%50.00%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)

Prediction 52.31%1.91fair odd
EV -0.088%
Edge -0.046%
Kelly -0.096%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.67%52.21%52.22%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.821.831.9157.47%54.82%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 47.69%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 52.31%. For Milwaukee Brewers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.912. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.910, with an expected value of -0.088%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.28%E -0.619%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.23%E -1.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 19:59
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.18%E -1.17%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 20:00
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 20:05
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.71%E -1.33%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.13%E -0.600%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-05 19:57
LowVig.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.19%E -1.57%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.66%E -0.881%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 20:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.19%E -1.57%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.66%E -0.881%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 20:00
BetUS🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.19%E -1.57%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.66%E -0.881%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 19:59
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -0.088%E -0.046%K -0.096%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-05 20:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -3.23%E -1.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-05 20:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 20:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 20:03
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 20:05
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.80%E -2.63%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 19:59
DraftKings🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -4.14%E -2.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -4.80%E -2.63%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 20:04
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.23%E -1.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 20:05
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:05
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 19:59
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:05
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:04
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:04
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:04
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 19:59
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:04
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:05
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.80%E -2.63%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.80%E -2.63%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 20:04
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.32%E -2.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 20:04
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 19:59
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 20:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 19:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 20:04
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 20:04
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 20:05
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 20:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 19:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 19:59
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.57%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 20:05
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.57%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 20:05
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.57%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 20:05
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.57%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 20:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.57%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.80%E -2.63%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 20:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.57%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.80%E -2.63%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 20:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.57%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 19:58
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.05%E -3.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.80%E -2.63%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 20:05
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.05%E -3.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.80%E -2.63%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 20:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.00%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.23%E -1.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 19:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.00%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.23%E -1.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 20:04
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.00%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 20:05
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.00%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 20:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.00%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.46%E -4.83%K -11.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-05 20:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.00%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.46%E -4.83%K -11.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-05 20:05
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -7.48%E -3.86%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -6.36%E -3.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 20:05
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.39%E -4.94%K -10.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.23%E -1.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 20:03
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -9.39%E -4.94%K -10.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -8.98%E -5.16%K -12.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-05 20:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%0.1%2026-07-05 19:59
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-05 20:05
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-05 20:05
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-07-05 20:05
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%4.0%2026-07-05 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.43%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.57%10.5%2026-07-05 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.43%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.57%10.5%2026-07-05 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.43%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.57%10.5%2026-07-05 20:05

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