L’École des cotes

Arizona Diamondbacks v Milwaukee Brewers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-05 20:10 UTC

Score final : Arizona Diamondbacks 2–3 Milwaukee Brewers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prévision 47.69%2.10cote équitable
EV -1.28%
Avantage -0.619%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.75%47.79%47.78%49.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.002.002.0752.63%50.12%50.00%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Milwaukee Brewers (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.31%1.91cote équitable
EV -0.088%
Avantage -0.046%
Kelly -0.096%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.67%52.21%52.22%53.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.741.821.831.9157.47%54.82%54.64%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.28%E -0.619%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.23%E -1.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 19:59
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.18%E -1.17%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 20:00
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 20:05
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 20:05
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.71%E -1.33%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.13%E -0.600%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-05 19:57
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.19%E -1.57%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.66%E -0.881%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 20:00
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.19%E -1.57%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.66%E -0.881%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 20:00
BetUS2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.19%E -1.57%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.66%E -0.881%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 19:59
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -0.088%E -0.046%K -0.096%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-05 20:05
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -3.23%E -1.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-05 20:05
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 20:04
MyBookie.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 20:03
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 20:05
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.80%E -2.63%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 19:59
DraftKings2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -4.14%E -2.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -4.80%E -2.63%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 20:04
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.23%E -1.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 20:05
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:05
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:04
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 19:59
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:05
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:04
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:04
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:05
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:04
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:04
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 19:59
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:04
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:05
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:05
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.80%E -2.63%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.80%E -2.63%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 20:04
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.32%E -2.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 20:04
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 19:59
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 20:04
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 19:59
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 20:04
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 20:04
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 20:05
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 20:05
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 19:59
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 19:59
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.57%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 20:05
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.57%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 20:05
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.57%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 20:05
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.57%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 20:04
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.57%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.80%E -2.63%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 20:04
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.57%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.80%E -2.63%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 20:04
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.57%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 19:58
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.05%E -3.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.80%E -2.63%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 20:05
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.05%E -3.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.80%E -2.63%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 20:05
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.00%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.23%E -1.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 19:59
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.00%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.23%E -1.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 20:04
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.00%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 20:05
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.00%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.84%E -3.25%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 20:05
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.00%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.46%E -4.83%K -11.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-05 20:04
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.00%E -3.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.46%E -4.83%K -11.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-05 20:05
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -7.48%E -3.86%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -6.36%E -3.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 20:05
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.39%E -4.94%K -10.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.23%E -1.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 20:03
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -9.39%E -4.94%K -10.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -8.98%E -5.16%K -12.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-05 20:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%0.1%2026-07-05 19:59
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-05 20:05
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-05 20:05
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-07-05 20:05
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%4.0%2026-07-05 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.43%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.57%10.5%2026-07-05 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.43%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.57%10.5%2026-07-05 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.43%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.57%10.5%2026-07-05 20:05