Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Los Angeles Angels

Kickoff: 2026-06-16 01:41 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 4–3 Los Angeles Angels

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prediction 56.11%1.78fair odd
EV -0.116%
Edge -0.065%
Kelly -0.149%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.91%56.03%56.27%59.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.711.711.7864.52%58.58%58.48%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visit)

Prediction 43.89%2.28fair odd
EV +0.937%
Edge +0.407%
Kelly +0.721%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.79%43.97%43.73%47.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.162.162.3051.55%46.34%46.30%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 56.11%; Los Angeles Angels (Visit): 43.89%. For Los Angeles Angels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.937%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.937%E +0.407%K +0.721%G +0.007%2.0%2026-06-16 01:39
Everygame🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.48%E -2.03%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +0.059%E +0.026%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-16 01:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.380%E -0.167%K -0.299%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 01:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.380%E -0.167%K -0.299%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 01:40
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.92%E -1.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -0.819%E -0.362%K -0.650%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-16 01:39
BetAnything🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -3.48%E -2.03%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -0.819%E -0.362%K -0.650%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-16 01:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -13.02%E -8.40%K -23.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -1.26%E -0.559%K -1.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-16 01:40
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.36%E -1.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.57%E -1.16%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 01:39
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.17%E -3.06%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.57%E -1.16%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-15 23:30
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.17%E -3.06%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.57%E -1.16%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-16 01:00
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.17%E -3.06%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.01%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 01:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-15 22:30
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 01:00
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 23:20
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 23:19
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 00:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.17%E -3.06%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 01:40
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.73%E -3.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 23:30
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.29%E -3.77%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 01:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.29%E -3.77%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 01:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.29%E -3.77%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 01:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.41%E -4.49%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 01:40
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.09%E -5.61%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 23:30
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -0.677%E -0.383%K -0.880%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.89%E -1.78%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-15 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -2.92%E -1.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.33%E -1.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-16 00:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -2.92%E -1.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.33%E -1.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-16 01:40
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.33%E -1.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 01:00
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.17%E -3.06%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.33%E -1.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 23:10
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.77%E -2.20%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 01:00
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.17%E -3.06%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.21%E -2.41%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 00:59
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.17%E -3.06%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.21%E -2.41%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -0.677%E -0.383%K -0.880%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-16 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 23:29
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 23:10
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.17%E -3.06%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 01:29
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.29%E -3.77%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 01:40
DraftKings🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.92%E -1.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.08%E -2.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.80%E -1.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.96%E -3.28%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 00:00
LeoVegas🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.36%E -1.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.96%E -3.28%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 00:00
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.36%E -1.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.96%E -3.28%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 00:00
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.36%E -1.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.96%E -3.28%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.36%E -1.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.96%E -3.28%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 00:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.48%E -2.03%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.96%E -3.28%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 22:20
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.92%E -1.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 06:00
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.92%E -1.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 01:40
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.92%E -1.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 01:40
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.92%E -1.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.92%E -1.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 01:40
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.92%E -1.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 00:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.48%E -2.03%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 22:19
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 01:40
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -8.72%E -4.19%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-15 23:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.29%E -3.77%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -8.72%E -4.19%K -8.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 01:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -9.16%E -4.42%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-16 01:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -9.16%E -4.42%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-16 01:40
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.36%E -1.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 01:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -6.29%E -3.77%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%EV -10.47%E -5.13%K -10.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-16 01:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -0.116%E -0.065%K -0.149%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -12.23%E -6.11%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -14.86%E -7.66%K -15.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-16 01:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-16 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-16 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-06-16 01:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-15 22:00
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-06-16 01:40
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-06-16 01:40
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-06-16 01:40
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-06-16 01:39
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-06-16 01:40