Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Los Angeles Angels

Inicio: 2026-06-16 01:41 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 4–3 Los Angeles Angels

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Predicción 56.11%1.78momio equitativo
EV -0.116%
Ventaja -0.065%
Kelly -0.149%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.91%56.03%56.27%59.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.711.711.7864.52%58.58%58.48%56.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visitante)

Predicción 43.89%2.28momio equitativo
EV +0.937%
Ventaja +0.407%
Kelly +0.721%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.79%43.97%43.73%47.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.942.162.162.3051.55%46.34%46.30%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 56.11%; Los Angeles Angels (Visitante): 43.89%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.28. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.937%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.937%E +0.407%K +0.721%G +0.007%2.0%2026-06-16 01:39
Everygame🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.48%E -2.03%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +0.059%E +0.026%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-16 01:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.380%E -0.167%K -0.299%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 01:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.380%E -0.167%K -0.299%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 01:40
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.92%E -1.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -0.819%E -0.362%K -0.650%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-16 01:39
BetAnything🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -3.48%E -2.03%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -0.819%E -0.362%K -0.650%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-16 01:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -13.02%E -8.40%K -23.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -1.26%E -0.559%K -1.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-16 01:40
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.36%E -1.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.57%E -1.16%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 01:39
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.17%E -3.06%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.57%E -1.16%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-15 23:30
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.17%E -3.06%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.57%E -1.16%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-16 01:00
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.17%E -3.06%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.01%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 01:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-15 22:30
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 01:00
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 23:20
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 23:19
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 00:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.17%E -3.06%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 01:40
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.73%E -3.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 23:30
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.29%E -3.77%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 01:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.29%E -3.77%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 01:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.29%E -3.77%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 01:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.41%E -4.49%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 01:40
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.09%E -5.61%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 23:30
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -0.677%E -0.383%K -0.880%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.89%E -1.78%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-15 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -2.92%E -1.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.33%E -1.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-16 00:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -2.92%E -1.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.33%E -1.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-16 01:40
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.33%E -1.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 01:00
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.17%E -3.06%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.33%E -1.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 23:10
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.77%E -2.20%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 01:00
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.17%E -3.06%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.21%E -2.41%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 00:59
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.17%E -3.06%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.21%E -2.41%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -0.677%E -0.383%K -0.880%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-16 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 23:29
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 23:10
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.17%E -3.06%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 01:29
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.29%E -3.77%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 01:40
DraftKings🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.92%E -1.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.08%E -2.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.80%E -1.03%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.96%E -3.28%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 00:00
LeoVegas🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.36%E -1.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.96%E -3.28%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 00:00
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.36%E -1.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.96%E -3.28%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 00:00
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.36%E -1.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.96%E -3.28%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.36%E -1.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.96%E -3.28%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 00:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.48%E -2.03%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.96%E -3.28%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 22:20
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.92%E -1.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 06:00
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.92%E -1.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 01:40
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.92%E -1.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 01:40
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.92%E -1.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.92%E -1.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 01:40
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.92%E -1.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 00:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.48%E -2.03%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 22:19
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 01:40
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -8.72%E -4.19%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-15 23:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.29%E -3.77%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -8.72%E -4.19%K -8.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 01:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -9.16%E -4.42%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-16 01:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -4.04%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -9.16%E -4.42%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-16 01:40
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.36%E -1.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 01:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -6.29%E -3.77%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%EV -10.47%E -5.13%K -10.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-16 01:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -0.116%E -0.065%K -0.149%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -12.23%E -6.11%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -14.86%E -7.66%K -15.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-16 01:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-16 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-16 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-06-16 01:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-15 22:00
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-06-16 01:40
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-06-16 01:40
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-06-16 01:40
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-06-16 01:39
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-06-16 01:40