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Arizona Diamondbacks v Chicago Cubs
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Arizona Diamondbacks (Хозяева)
Прогноз 43.10%2.32справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.870%
Преимущество -0.378%
Kelly -0.669%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
42.31%43.16%43.10%44.74%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.102.222.232.3047.62%45.10%44.84%43.48%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Chicago Cubs (Гости)
Прогноз 56.90%1.76справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.994%
Преимущество -0.571%
Kelly -1.34%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.74
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
55.26%56.84%56.90%57.69%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.611.681.681.7462.11%59.46%59.52%57.47%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Arizona Diamondbacks (Хозяева): 43.10%; Chicago Cubs (Гости): 56.90%. Для исхода «Arizona Diamondbacks (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.32. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.30, математическое ожидание — -0.870%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.870%E -0.378%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-24 22:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.870%E -0.378%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-24 23:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.870%E -0.378%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-24 15:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.870%E -0.378%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-24 17:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.73%E -0.760%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.13%E -1.24%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-25 00:42 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.16%E -0.953%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-24 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.16%E -0.953%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-24 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.13%E -1.24%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-24 20:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-25 00:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.27%E -1.92%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-24 16:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -0.994%E -0.571%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-25 01:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-24 23:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.27%E -1.92%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.27%E -1.92%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.84%E -2.27%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-24 14:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.84%E -2.27%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-24 23:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-24 22:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-24 22:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-24 22:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.46%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -0.994%E -0.571%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.46%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-24 22:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.32%E -1.94%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-24 22:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.27%E -1.92%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.84%E -2.27%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-24 09:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-24 02:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-24 22:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 23:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 23:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 23:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 23:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-24 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.55%E -3.34%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.55%E -3.34%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-24 22:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.61%E -2.56%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-24 20:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.04%E -2.77%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-24 12:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.04%E -2.77%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-24 12:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.47%E -2.98%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.84%E -2.27%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -1.56%E -0.904%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-24 20:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.13%E -1.24%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-25 00:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.27%E -1.92%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-24 23:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.68%E -4.08%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.39%E -5.21%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -7.77%E -3.63%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -7.25%E -4.45%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-25 01:13 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.49%E -4.52%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.27%E -1.92%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.49%E -4.52%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.27%E -1.92%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-08-25 01:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33% | 0.9% | 2026-08-25 01:34 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-08-25 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-08-25 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-08-25 01:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-08-25 01:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-08-24 23:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 1.7% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |