Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Chicago Cubs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-25 01:42 UTC

Score final : Arizona Diamondbacks 0–7 Chicago Cubs

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prévision 43.10%2.32cote équitable
EV -0.870%
Avantage -0.378%
Kelly -0.669%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.31%43.16%43.10%44.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.222.232.3047.62%45.10%44.84%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.90%1.76cote équitable
EV -0.994%
Avantage -0.571%
Kelly -1.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.26%56.84%56.90%57.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.611.681.681.7462.11%59.46%59.52%57.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Arizona Diamondbacks (Local) : 43.10% ; Chicago Cubs (Visiteur) : 56.90%. Pour Arizona Diamondbacks (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.32. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.30, pour une espérance de -0.870% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.870%E -0.378%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-24 22:25
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.870%E -0.378%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-24 23:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.870%E -0.378%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-24 15:29
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.870%E -0.378%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-24 17:00
Caesars🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.73%E -0.760%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.13%E -1.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-25 00:42
BetOnline.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.16%E -0.953%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-24 23:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.16%E -0.953%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-24 23:39
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.13%E -1.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-24 20:09
BetUS🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-25 00:59
theScore Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.27%E -1.92%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-24 16:29
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -0.994%E -0.571%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-25 01:34
BetAnything🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-24 23:04
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.27%E -1.92%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-24 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.27%E -1.92%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-24 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.84%E -2.27%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-24 14:24
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.84%E -2.27%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-24 22:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-24 23:44
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 22:25
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 22:29
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 22:25
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 01:24
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.46%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -0.994%E -0.571%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-25 01:24
MyBookie.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.46%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-24 22:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-24 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-24 22:39
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-24 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-24 22:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-24 22:39
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-24 22:39
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-24 22:39
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-24 22:39
Bet Right🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.32%E -1.94%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-24 22:54
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.27%E -1.92%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 01:29
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.84%E -2.27%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 09:24
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-24 02:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 22:24
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 22:25
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 23:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 23:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 23:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 23:29
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 22:39
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 23:24
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 23:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.55%E -3.34%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 01:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.55%E -3.34%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 22:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-24 22:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-24 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-24 22:29
SportsBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.61%E -2.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-24 20:09
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.04%E -2.77%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 12:44
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.04%E -2.77%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 12:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.47%E -2.98%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.84%E -2.27%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 01:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -1.56%E -0.904%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 20:09
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.13%E -1.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 00:24
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.27%E -1.92%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 01:24
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-24 23:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.68%E -4.08%K -10.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 22:24
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.39%E -5.21%K -13.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 22:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -7.77%E -3.63%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -7.25%E -4.45%K -11.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-25 01:13
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.49%E -4.52%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.27%E -1.92%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 01:29
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.49%E -4.52%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.27%E -1.92%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 01:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-08-25 01:34
ProphetX◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%0.9%2026-08-25 01:34
Matchbook◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-08-25 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-08-25 01:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-08-25 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-08-25 01:35
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-25 01:09
Polymarket◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-24 23:14
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%1.7%2026-08-25 01:29
BetOpenly◎2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%3.9%2026-08-25 01:24