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Arizona Diamondbacks v Chicago Cubs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)
Predicción 43.10%2.32momio equitativo
EV -0.870%
Ventaja -0.378%
Kelly -0.669%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.31%43.16%43.10%44.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.222.232.3047.62%45.10%44.84%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chicago Cubs (Visitante)
Predicción 56.90%1.76momio equitativo
EV -0.994%
Ventaja -0.571%
Kelly -1.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.26%56.84%56.90%57.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.611.681.681.7462.11%59.46%59.52%57.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 43.10%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 56.90%. Para Arizona Diamondbacks (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.32. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.30, con un valor esperado de -0.870%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.870%E -0.378%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-24 22:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.870%E -0.378%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-24 23:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.870%E -0.378%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-24 15:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.870%E -0.378%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-24 17:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.73%E -0.760%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.13%E -1.24%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-25 00:42 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.16%E -0.953%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-24 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.16%E -0.953%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-24 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.13%E -1.24%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-24 20:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-25 00:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.27%E -1.92%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-24 16:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -0.994%E -0.571%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-25 01:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-24 23:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.27%E -1.92%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.27%E -1.92%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.84%E -2.27%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-24 14:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.84%E -2.27%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-24 23:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-24 22:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-24 22:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-24 22:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.46%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -0.994%E -0.571%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.46%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-24 22:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.32%E -1.94%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-24 22:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.27%E -1.92%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.84%E -2.27%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-24 09:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-24 02:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-24 22:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 23:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 23:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 23:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 23:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-24 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.55%E -3.34%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.55%E -3.34%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-24 22:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.61%E -2.56%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-24 20:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.04%E -2.77%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-24 12:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.04%E -2.77%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-24 12:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.47%E -2.98%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.84%E -2.27%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -1.56%E -0.904%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-24 20:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.13%E -1.24%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-25 00:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.27%E -1.92%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-24 23:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.68%E -4.08%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.39%E -5.21%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -7.77%E -3.63%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -7.25%E -4.45%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-25 01:13 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.49%E -4.52%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.27%E -1.92%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.49%E -4.52%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.27%E -1.92%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-08-25 01:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33% | 0.9% | 2026-08-25 01:34 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-08-25 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-08-25 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-08-25 01:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-08-25 01:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-08-24 23:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 1.7% | 2026-08-25 01:29 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |