The School of Odds

Arizona Diamondbacks v Athletics

2026-07-22 19:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prediction 51.99%1.92fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.637%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.96%51.97%52.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.741.831.831.9057%55%55%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Athletics (Visit)

Prediction 48.01%2.08fair odd
EV -0.628%
Edge -0.303%
Kelly -0.587%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.33%48.04%48.03%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.881.981.982.0753%50%51%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.21%E -0.637%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.79%E -4.63%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 18:09
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.73%E -0.916%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.03%E -1.50%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-21 18:10
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.73%E -0.916%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.03%E -1.50%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-21 18:10
GTbets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.73%E -0.916%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.03%E -1.50%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-21 18:10
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.77%E -1.48%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.39%E -3.28%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 18:20
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.77%E -1.48%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.39%E -3.28%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 20:05
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -3.29%E -1.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -0.628%E -0.303%K -0.587%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-21 19:25
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 18:15
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 18:29
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 21:50
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.95%E -2.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 19:20
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.95%E -2.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.91%E -3.01%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 21:50
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.91%E -3.01%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 21:50
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.33%E -2.35%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.47%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 20:00
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.33%E -2.35%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.95%E -2.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 19:25
SportsBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.33%E -2.35%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.91%E -3.01%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 18:15
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 18:10
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 19:05
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 19:20
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 19:45
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.95%E -2.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 18:25
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.95%E -2.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 19:25
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.95%E -2.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 20:40
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.95%E -2.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 20:00
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.95%E -2.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 19:59
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.95%E -2.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-21 18:25
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.91%E -3.01%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 18:30
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 18:15
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 19:25
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 19:25
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 19:25
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 20:00
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.39%E -3.28%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 19:40
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.39%E -3.28%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 18:25
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.39%E -3.28%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 18:24
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -7.97%E -4.50%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -8.31%E -4.35%K -9.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-21 19:40
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -9.53%E -5.48%K -12.88%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -9.75%E -5.19%K -11.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-21 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-21 21:20
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-21 18:10
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-07-21 22:30
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%10.1%2026-07-21 18:25