La escuela de los momios

Arizona Diamondbacks v Athletics

Inicio: 2026-07-22 19:43 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 15–5 Athletics

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Predicción 56.08%1.78momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -2.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.55%56.08%56.04%57.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.711.711.7560.61%58.40%58.48%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Athletics (Visitante)

Predicción 43.92%2.28momio equitativo
EV +1.02%
Ventaja +0.443%
Kelly +0.784%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.64%43.92%43.96%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.162.152.3048.78%46.30%46.51%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +1.02%E +0.443%K +0.784%G +0.008%2.0%2026-07-22 19:30
Everygame1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +0.141%E +0.062%K +0.110%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-22 19:24
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -0.298%E -0.131%K -0.235%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-22 19:39
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.298%E -0.131%K -0.235%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-22 19:29
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.298%E -0.131%K -0.235%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-22 19:29
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -0.738%E -0.326%K -0.585%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-22 18:59
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -1.62%E -0.721%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-22 19:24
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.06%E -0.922%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-22 19:24
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.06%E -0.922%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 19:39
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.67%E -2.74%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.49%E -1.12%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 19:39
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.23%E -3.09%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.49%E -1.12%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 19:39
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 18:55
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 19:14
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.67%E -2.74%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 19:14
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.23%E -3.09%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 18:54
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.47%E -4.53%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 18:54
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.81%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 19:14
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-22 19:15
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-22 19:14
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 19:40
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 18:54
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 19:05
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.67%E -2.74%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 19:39
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 19:39
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.23%E -3.09%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.69%E -2.16%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 19:19
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 18:50
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 19:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 18:59
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 18:59
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 19:34
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 19:15
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 19:15
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 19:14
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 19:14
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.67%E -2.74%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 19:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.67%E -2.74%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 19:14
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.67%E -2.74%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.67%E -2.74%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 18:59
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-22 18:54
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-22 19:39
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-22 19:14
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 19:39
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 19:24
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 19:24
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 19:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 19:24
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 19:14
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 19:24
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 19:24
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 19:24
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 19:39
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 19:39
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 19:39
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.86%E -1.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 19:29
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 18:19
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 18:19
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 18:19
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 15:19
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 19:40
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 19:39
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -8.20%E -3.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 19:14
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -9.08%E -4.39%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 19:24
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.67%E -2.74%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 19:34
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.67%E -2.74%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 19:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 57.83%2.40I 41.67%NM 42.17%-1.2%2026-07-22 19:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-07-22 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-07-22 19:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-07-22 19:35
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-22 19:24
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%0.8%2026-07-22 19:39
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-22 19:30
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-07-22 19:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-22 19:35
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%2.7%2026-07-22 19:40