The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Nashville Sounds v Indianapolis Indians

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 23:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nashville Sounds (Local)

Prediction 55.77%1.79fair odd
EV +0.944%
Edge +0.521%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.74%56.03%55.12%60.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.701.711.8162.89%58.74%58.48%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indianapolis Indians (Visit)

Prediction 44.23%2.26fair odd
EV +6.15%
Edge +2.56%
Kelly +4.39%
Growth +0.270%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%43.97%44.88%47.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.122.082.4050.76%47.25%48.19%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nashville Sounds (Local): 55.77%; Indianapolis Indians (Visit): 44.23%. For Indianapolis Indians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -11.33%E -7.12%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +6.15%E +2.56%K +4.39%G +0.270%4.6%2026-08-15 21:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -9.65%E -5.96%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -0.925%E -0.413%K -0.746%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 21:54
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.63%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.12%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 22:04
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.63%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.12%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 22:04
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.33%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 21:54
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -9.33%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 22:04
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +0.944%E +0.521%K +1.17%G +0.011%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -10.66%E -5.27%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 17:14
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -2.40%E -1.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -12.87%E -6.53%K -13.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 18:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.